Stock Analysis

BGF retail's (KRX:282330) Solid Earnings Have Been Accounted For Conservatively

The market seemed underwhelmed by the solid earnings posted by BGF retail CO., LTD. (KRX:282330) recently. We have done some analysis, and found some encouraging factors that we believe the shareholders should consider.

See our latest analysis for BGF retail

earnings-and-revenue-history
KOSE:A282330 Earnings and Revenue History March 20th 2024
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A Closer Look At BGF retail's Earnings

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

BGF retail has an accrual ratio of -0.36 for the year to December 2023. Therefore, its statutory earnings were very significantly less than its free cashflow. To wit, it produced free cash flow of ₩378b during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of ₩195.8b. BGF retail shareholders are no doubt pleased that free cash flow improved over the last twelve months.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Our Take On BGF retail's Profit Performance

Happily for shareholders, BGF retail produced plenty of free cash flow to back up its statutory profit numbers. Based on this observation, we consider it possible that BGF retail's statutory profit actually understates its earnings potential! And the EPS is up 60% annually, over the last three years. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign that you should run your eye over to get a better picture of BGF retail.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of BGF retail's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if BGF Retail might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

Access Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About KOSE:A282330

BGF Retail

Operates convenience stores under the CU brand in South Korea.

Undervalued with adequate balance sheet.

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