Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Hansae Yes24 Holdings Co., Ltd (KRX:016450) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Hansae Yes24 Holdings
What Is Hansae Yes24 Holdings's Debt?
As you can see below, at the end of September 2020, Hansae Yes24 Holdings had ₩823.1b of debt, up from ₩729.7b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have ₩337.0b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about ₩486.1b.
A Look At Hansae Yes24 Holdings' Liabilities
The latest balance sheet data shows that Hansae Yes24 Holdings had liabilities of ₩961.9b due within a year, and liabilities of ₩230.2b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₩337.0b and ₩306.3b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₩548.9b.
This deficit casts a shadow over the ₩291.3b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, Hansae Yes24 Holdings would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
Hansae Yes24 Holdings has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 2.9 and its EBIT covered its interest expense 4.6 times. Taken together this implies that, while we wouldn't want to see debt levels rise, we think it can handle its current leverage. Shareholders should be aware that Hansae Yes24 Holdings's EBIT was down 30% last year. If that decline continues then paying off debt will be harder than selling foie gras at a vegan convention. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Hansae Yes24 Holdings's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. In the last three years, Hansae Yes24 Holdings created free cash flow amounting to 5.5% of its EBIT, an uninspiring performance. For us, cash conversion that low sparks a little paranoia about is ability to extinguish debt.
Our View
To be frank both Hansae Yes24 Holdings's EBIT growth rate and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least its interest cover is not so bad. After considering the datapoints discussed, we think Hansae Yes24 Holdings has too much debt. That sort of riskiness is ok for some, but it certainly doesn't float our boat. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Hansae Yes24 Holdings (2 shouldn't be ignored) you should be aware of.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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About KOSE:A016450
Hansae Yes24 Holdings
Through its subsidiaries, produces and sells fabrics in South Korea and internationally.
Solid track record with adequate balance sheet.