Stock Analysis

Is BG T&A (KOSDAQ:046310) A Risky Investment?

KOSDAQ:A046310
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies BG T&A Co., Ltd. (KOSDAQ:046310) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for BG T&A

What Is BG T&A's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2020 BG T&A had ₩24.6b of debt, an increase on ₩18.9b, over one year. But it also has ₩37.4b in cash to offset that, meaning it has ₩12.8b net cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
KOSDAQ:A046310 Debt to Equity History December 22nd 2020

A Look At BG T&A's Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that BG T&A had liabilities of ₩37.8b falling due within a year, and liabilities of ₩8.03b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₩37.4b as well as receivables valued at ₩26.0b due within 12 months. So it can boast ₩17.5b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This surplus liquidity suggests that BG T&A's balance sheet could take a hit just as well as Homer Simpson's head can take a punch. On this view, lenders should feel as safe as the beloved of a black-belt karate master. Succinctly put, BG T&A boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

On the other hand, BG T&A's EBIT dived 18%, over the last year. If that rate of decline in earnings continues, the company could find itself in a tight spot. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since BG T&A will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While BG T&A has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, BG T&A recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 82% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.

Summing up

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that BG T&A has net cash of ₩12.8b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. The cherry on top was that in converted 82% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in -₩593m. So is BG T&A's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Take risks, for example - BG T&A has 4 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit unpleasant) we think you should know about.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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