LOTTE Valuation

Is A004990 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of A004990 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: A004990 (₩20950) is trading below our estimate of fair value (₩60497.69)

Significantly Below Fair Value: A004990 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for A004990?

Key metric: As A004990 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for A004990. This is calculated by dividing A004990's market cap by their current revenue.
What is A004990's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.09x
Sales₩15.83t
Market Cap₩1.50t

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does A004990's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for A004990 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.1x
A000880 Hanwha
0.04x5.3%₩2.0t
A000150 Doosan
0.2x4.6%₩3.5t
0.08x5.6%₩3.1t
A004800 Hyosung
0.2x-5.3%₩754.2b
0.09x5.2%₩1.5t

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: A004990 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x) compared to the peer average (0.1x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does A004990's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Industrials Industry?

25 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.0.8x0.4%
0.09x5.2%US$1.07b
A004990 0.1xIndustry Avg. 0.8xNo. of Companies25PS00.81.62.43.24+
25 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.0.8x36.4%
0.09x109.6%US$1.07b
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: A004990 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x) compared to the Asian Industrials industry average (0.8x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is A004990's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

A004990 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.09x
Fair PS Ratio0.9x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: A004990 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst A004990 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current₩20,950.00
₩29,666.67
+41.6%
6.9%₩32,000.00₩27,000.00n/a3
Nov ’25₩23,700.00
₩29,666.67
+25.2%
6.9%₩32,000.00₩27,000.00n/a3
Oct ’25₩24,650.00
₩29,666.67
+20.4%
6.9%₩32,000.00₩27,000.00n/a3
Sep ’25₩24,750.00
₩31,333.33
+26.6%
13.4%₩37,000.00₩27,000.00n/a3
Aug ’25₩25,050.00
₩37,000.00
+47.7%
11.0%₩42,000.00₩32,000.00n/a3
Jul ’25₩25,050.00
₩37,000.00
+47.7%
11.0%₩42,000.00₩32,000.00n/a3
Jun ’25₩26,150.00
₩39,666.67
+51.7%
14.0%₩45,000.00₩32,000.00n/a3
May ’25₩27,700.00
₩39,666.67
+43.2%
14.0%₩45,000.00₩32,000.00n/a3
Apr ’25₩27,400.00
₩39,666.67
+44.8%
14.0%₩45,000.00₩32,000.00n/a3
Mar ’25₩30,200.00
₩37,000.00
+22.5%
11.0%₩42,000.00₩32,000.00n/a3
Feb ’25₩31,250.00
₩35,666.67
+14.1%
16.2%₩42,000.00₩28,000.00n/a3
Jan ’25₩27,050.00
₩35,666.67
+31.9%
16.2%₩42,000.00₩28,000.00n/a3
Dec ’24₩28,000.00
₩35,666.67
+27.4%
16.2%₩42,000.00₩28,000.00n/a3
Nov ’24₩26,500.00
₩35,666.67
+34.6%
16.2%₩42,000.00₩28,000.00₩23,700.003
Oct ’24₩25,450.00
₩35,000.00
+37.5%
20.0%₩42,000.00₩28,000.00₩24,650.002
Sep ’24₩24,900.00
₩35,000.00
+40.6%
20.0%₩42,000.00₩28,000.00₩24,750.002
Aug ’24₩26,050.00
₩35,000.00
+34.4%
20.0%₩42,000.00₩28,000.00₩25,050.002
Jul ’24₩25,000.00
₩39,000.00
+56.0%
7.7%₩42,000.00₩36,000.00₩25,050.002
Jun ’24₩28,200.00
₩39,000.00
+38.3%
7.7%₩42,000.00₩36,000.00₩26,150.002
May ’24₩28,000.00
₩39,000.00
+39.3%
7.7%₩42,000.00₩36,000.00₩27,700.002
Apr ’24₩28,750.00
₩39,000.00
+35.7%
7.7%₩42,000.00₩36,000.00₩27,400.002
Mar ’24₩30,650.00
₩39,000.00
+27.2%
7.7%₩42,000.00₩36,000.00₩30,200.002
Feb ’24₩32,150.00
₩39,000.00
+21.3%
7.7%₩42,000.00₩36,000.00₩31,250.002
Jan ’24₩30,800.00
₩39,000.00
+26.6%
7.7%₩42,000.00₩36,000.00₩27,050.002
Dec ’23₩32,650.00
₩46,666.67
+42.9%
23.8%₩62,000.00₩36,000.00₩28,000.003
Nov ’23₩33,700.00
₩50,666.67
+50.3%
21.5%₩62,000.00₩36,000.00₩26,500.003

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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