What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? In a perfect world, we'd like to see a company investing more capital into its business and ideally the returns earned from that capital are also increasing. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. In light of that, when we looked at DUAL (KRX:016740) and its ROCE trend, we weren't exactly thrilled.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What is it?
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for DUAL:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.095 = ₩25b ÷ (₩404b - ₩146b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2020).
So, DUAL has an ROCE of 9.5%. On its own that's a low return, but compared to the average of 4.1% generated by the Auto Components industry, it's much better.
See our latest analysis for DUAL
While the past is not representative of the future, it can be helpful to know how a company has performed historically, which is why we have this chart above. If you'd like to look at how DUAL has performed in the past in other metrics, you can view this free graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What Does the ROCE Trend For DUAL Tell Us?
In terms of DUAL's historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. To be more specific, ROCE has fallen from 23% over the last five years. On the other hand, the company has been employing more capital without a corresponding improvement in sales in the last year, which could suggest these investments are longer term plays. It may take some time before the company starts to see any change in earnings from these investments.
On a related note, DUAL has decreased its current liabilities to 36% of total assets. So we could link some of this to the decrease in ROCE. What's more, this can reduce some aspects of risk to the business because now the company's suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of its operations. Some would claim this reduces the business' efficiency at generating ROCE since it is now funding more of the operations with its own money.Our Take On DUAL's ROCE
Bringing it all together, while we're somewhat encouraged by DUAL's reinvestment in its own business, we're aware that returns are shrinking. And in the last three years, the stock has given away 15% so the market doesn't look too hopeful on these trends strengthening any time soon. Therefore based on the analysis done in this article, we don't think DUAL has the makings of a multi-bagger.
On a final note, we found 5 warning signs for DUAL (2 make us uncomfortable) you should be aware of.
For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.
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About KOSE:A016740
DUAL
Manufactures and sells automobile interior materials in South Korea, China, Europe, and the United States.
Flawless balance sheet average dividend payer.