Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Hwaseung R&A (KRX:013520) Is Using Debt In A Risky Way

KOSE:A013520
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Hwaseung R&A Co., Ltd. (KRX:013520) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Hwaseung R&A

How Much Debt Does Hwaseung R&A Carry?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Hwaseung R&A had ₩710.1b in debt in September 2020; about the same as the year before. On the flip side, it has ₩162.9b in cash leading to net debt of about ₩547.2b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
KOSE:A013520 Debt to Equity History February 25th 2021

A Look At Hwaseung R&A's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Hwaseung R&A had liabilities of ₩858.4b due within 12 months and liabilities of ₩134.0b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₩162.9b and ₩247.7b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total ₩581.7b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the ₩223.6b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, Hwaseung R&A would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Weak interest cover of 0.99 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 6.3 hit our confidence in Hwaseung R&A like a one-two punch to the gut. The debt burden here is substantial. Even worse, Hwaseung R&A saw its EBIT tank 50% over the last 12 months. If earnings keep going like that over the long term, it has a snowball's chance in hell of paying off that debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Hwaseung R&A will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. In the last three years, Hwaseung R&A's free cash flow amounted to 50% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

Our View

To be frank both Hwaseung R&A's EBIT growth rate and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. Having said that, its ability to convert EBIT to free cash flow isn't such a worry. Taking into account all the aforementioned factors, it looks like Hwaseung R&A has too much debt. That sort of riskiness is ok for some, but it certainly doesn't float our boat. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 3 warning signs with Hwaseung R&A (at least 2 which don't sit too well with us) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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