Investors Still Aren't Entirely Convinced By Nexen Tire Corporation's (KRX:002350) Earnings Despite 27% Price Jump
Nexen Tire Corporation (KRX:002350) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 27% share price jump in the last month. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 13% is also fairly reasonable.
Although its price has surged higher, Nexen Tire's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 8.4x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in Korea, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 15x and even P/E's above 33x are quite common. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Nexen Tire has been struggling lately as its earnings have declined faster than most other companies. The P/E is probably low because investors think this poor earnings performance isn't going to improve at all. If you still like the company, you'd want its earnings trajectory to turn around before making any decisions. Or at the very least, you'd be hoping the earnings slide doesn't get any worse if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Check out our latest analysis for Nexen Tire
Is There Any Growth For Nexen Tire?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Nexen Tire would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 38%. This has erased any of its gains during the last three years, with practically no change in EPS being achieved in total. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 25% per annum as estimated by the eleven analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 20% each year, which is noticeably less attractive.
In light of this, it's peculiar that Nexen Tire's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.
The Key Takeaway
Nexen Tire's stock might have been given a solid boost, but its P/E certainly hasn't reached any great heights. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
We've established that Nexen Tire currently trades on a much lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is higher than the wider market. There could be some major unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching the positive outlook. It appears many are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 3 warning signs for Nexen Tire (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
You might be able to find a better investment than Nexen Tire. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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Discover if Nexen Tire might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.