Safaricom Valuation
Is SCOM undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
2/6Valuation Score 2/6
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Analyst Forecast
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SCOM?
Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.
| What is SCOM's n/a Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| n/a Ratio | 0x |
| n/a | n/a |
| Market Cap | KSh981.60b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 3.7x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 7.8x |
| PEG Ratio | -6.9x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does SCOM's PE Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 23.1x | ||
MTSS Mobile TeleSystems | 9.7x | 16.9% | ₽463.3b |
7020 Etihad Etisalat | 19.5x | 9.3% | ر.س26.7b |
4904 Far EasTone Telecommunications | 24.3x | 9.9% | NT$219.9b |
MAXIS Maxis Berhad | 25.6x | 8.8% | RM31.5b |
SCOM Safaricom | 14.9x | -2.1% | KSh981.6b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SCOM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.9x) compared to the peer average (23.1x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does SCOM's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Wireless Telecom Industry?
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is SCOM's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PE Ratio | 14.9x |
| Fair PE Ratio | n/a |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate SCOM's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of SCOM when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: SCOM (KES24.5) is trading above our estimate of fair value (KES8.42)
Significantly Below Fair Value: SCOM is trading above our estimate of fair value.
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | KSh24.50 | KSh31.58 +28.9% | 20.7% | KSh43.60 | KSh24.50 | n/a | 6 |
| Jan ’24 | KSh24.15 | KSh34.57 +43.2% | 15.7% | KSh43.60 | KSh27.00 | n/a | 5 |
| Dec ’23 | KSh24.50 | KSh34.98 +42.8% | 12.6% | KSh43.60 | KSh27.00 | n/a | 8 |
| Nov ’23 | KSh25.00 | KSh34.29 +37.2% | 16.9% | KSh43.60 | KSh21.50 | n/a | 8 |
| Oct ’23 | KSh24.95 | KSh35.59 +42.7% | 18.5% | KSh46.00 | KSh21.50 | n/a | 9 |
| Sep ’23 | KSh27.85 | KSh35.59 +27.8% | 18.5% | KSh46.00 | KSh21.50 | n/a | 9 |
| Aug ’23 | KSh29.15 | KSh35.75 +22.7% | 17.5% | KSh46.00 | KSh21.50 | n/a | 10 |
| Jul ’23 | KSh25.05 | KSh36.85 +47.1% | 17.9% | KSh46.00 | KSh21.50 | n/a | 10 |
| Jun ’23 | KSh26.00 | KSh37.67 +44.9% | 16.8% | KSh46.00 | KSh23.00 | n/a | 11 |
| May ’23 | KSh33.70 | KSh39.66 +17.7% | 11.2% | KSh46.00 | KSh31.00 | n/a | 10 |
| Apr ’23 | KSh34.50 | KSh39.73 +15.2% | 11.7% | KSh46.00 | KSh31.00 | n/a | 9 |
| Mar ’23 | KSh36.15 | KSh38.95 +7.7% | 11.2% | KSh44.34 | KSh31.00 | n/a | 8 |
| Feb ’23 | KSh37.50 | KSh39.17 +4.4% | 11.5% | KSh44.34 | KSh31.00 | KSh24.00 | 8 |
| Jan ’23 | KSh37.95 | KSh38.60 +1.7% | 12.1% | KSh44.34 | KSh31.00 | KSh24.15 | 8 |
| Dec ’22 | KSh37.90 | KSh37.82 -0.2% | 12.2% | KSh44.34 | KSh31.00 | KSh24.50 | 11 |
| Nov ’22 | KSh41.95 | KSh37.81 -9.9% | 11.2% | KSh44.00 | KSh31.00 | KSh25.00 | 11 |
| Oct ’22 | KSh43.20 | KSh37.99 -12.1% | 10.4% | KSh44.00 | KSh31.00 | KSh24.95 | 12 |
| Sep ’22 | KSh42.60 | KSh37.99 -10.8% | 10.4% | KSh44.00 | KSh31.00 | KSh27.85 | 12 |
| Aug ’22 | KSh41.95 | KSh37.23 -11.3% | 9.7% | KSh44.00 | KSh31.00 | KSh29.15 | 13 |
| Jul ’22 | KSh42.00 | KSh37.15 -11.5% | 9.8% | KSh44.00 | KSh31.00 | KSh25.05 | 13 |
| Jun ’22 | KSh40.85 | KSh36.77 -10.0% | 9.6% | KSh42.99 | KSh31.00 | KSh26.00 | 13 |
| May ’22 | KSh40.35 | KSh35.16 -12.9% | 10.0% | KSh42.99 | KSh30.25 | KSh33.70 | 12 |
| Apr ’22 | KSh37.05 | KSh33.98 -8.3% | 11.3% | KSh42.99 | KSh30.00 | KSh34.50 | 10 |
| Mar ’22 | KSh38.70 | KSh33.76 -12.8% | 11.0% | KSh42.99 | KSh30.00 | KSh36.15 | 10 |
| Feb ’22 | KSh35.15 | KSh32.59 -7.3% | 6.4% | KSh36.15 | KSh30.00 | KSh37.50 | 11 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.