RENOVA, Inc.

TSE:9519 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥74.0b

RENOVA Valuation

Is 9519 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 9519 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 9519 (¥818) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥2306.29)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 9519 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 9519?

Key metric: As 9519 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 9519. This is calculated by dividing 9519's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 9519's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio12.5x
EarningsJP¥5.91b
Market CapJP¥73.96b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 9519's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 9519 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average23.4x
9522 Renewable Japan
50.6xn/aJP¥22.1b
9514 EF-ON
20.5x30.3%JP¥8.6b
9543 Shizuoka Gas
10.5xn/aJP¥76.0b
1663 K&O Energy Group
11.9x-15.9%JP¥79.3b
9519 RENOVA
12.5x-18.1%JP¥74.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 9519 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.5x) compared to the peer average (23.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 9519's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Renewable Energy Industry?

9 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
9519 12.5xIndustry Avg. 14.0xNo. of Companies24PE01020304050+
9 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 9519 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.5x) compared to the Asian Renewable Energy industry average (13.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 9519's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

9519 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio12.5x
Fair PE Ratio7.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 9519 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 9519 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥818.00
JP¥1,135.00
+38.8%
17.5%JP¥1,450.00JP¥860.00n/a6
Nov ’25JP¥869.00
JP¥1,110.00
+27.7%
20.2%JP¥1,450.00JP¥830.00n/a6
Oct ’25JP¥984.00
JP¥1,401.67
+42.4%
48.9%JP¥2,850.00JP¥830.00n/a6
Sep ’25JP¥1,036.00
JP¥1,401.67
+35.3%
48.9%JP¥2,850.00JP¥830.00n/a6
Aug ’25JP¥866.00
JP¥1,470.00
+69.7%
43.2%JP¥2,850.00JP¥1,000.00n/a6
Jul ’25JP¥966.00
JP¥1,470.00
+52.2%
43.2%JP¥2,850.00JP¥1,000.00n/a6
Jun ’25JP¥1,023.00
JP¥1,470.00
+43.7%
43.2%JP¥2,850.00JP¥1,000.00n/a6
May ’25JP¥1,483.00
JP¥1,508.33
+1.7%
41.0%JP¥2,850.00JP¥1,000.00n/a6
Apr ’25JP¥1,238.00
JP¥1,593.33
+28.7%
39.0%JP¥2,850.00JP¥1,000.00n/a6
Mar ’25JP¥1,103.00
JP¥1,593.33
+44.5%
39.0%JP¥2,850.00JP¥1,000.00n/a6
Feb ’25JP¥1,221.00
JP¥1,581.67
+29.5%
39.4%JP¥2,850.00JP¥1,100.00n/a6
Jan ’25JP¥1,189.00
JP¥1,581.67
+33.0%
39.4%JP¥2,850.00JP¥1,100.00n/a6
Dec ’24JP¥1,060.00
JP¥1,581.67
+49.2%
39.4%JP¥2,850.00JP¥1,100.00n/a6
Nov ’24JP¥1,087.00
JP¥1,753.33
+61.3%
31.9%JP¥2,850.00JP¥1,100.00JP¥869.006
Oct ’24JP¥1,132.00
JP¥1,907.50
+68.5%
30.5%JP¥2,850.00JP¥1,100.00JP¥984.006
Sep ’24JP¥1,389.00
JP¥1,907.50
+37.3%
30.5%JP¥2,850.00JP¥1,100.00JP¥1,036.006
Aug ’24JP¥1,507.00
JP¥1,954.17
+29.7%
28.1%JP¥2,850.00JP¥1,100.00JP¥866.006
Jul ’24JP¥1,620.00
JP¥1,954.17
+20.6%
28.1%JP¥2,850.00JP¥1,100.00JP¥966.006
Jun ’24JP¥1,646.00
JP¥1,937.50
+17.7%
29.7%JP¥2,850.00JP¥1,000.00JP¥1,023.006
May ’24JP¥1,877.00
JP¥2,407.00
+28.2%
45.2%JP¥4,492.00JP¥1,000.00JP¥1,483.006
Apr ’24JP¥1,990.00
JP¥2,632.00
+32.3%
34.0%JP¥4,492.00JP¥1,830.00JP¥1,238.006
Mar ’24JP¥2,110.00
JP¥2,510.29
+19.0%
35.6%JP¥4,492.00JP¥1,510.00JP¥1,103.007
Feb ’24JP¥2,242.00
JP¥2,541.71
+13.4%
34.9%JP¥4,492.00JP¥1,510.00JP¥1,221.007
Jan ’24JP¥2,359.00
JP¥2,627.43
+11.4%
34.7%JP¥4,492.00JP¥1,510.00JP¥1,189.007
Dec ’23JP¥2,676.00
JP¥2,627.43
-1.8%
34.7%JP¥4,492.00JP¥1,510.00JP¥1,060.007
Nov ’23JP¥3,215.00
JP¥2,411.71
-25.0%
38.7%JP¥4,492.00JP¥1,510.00JP¥1,087.007

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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