Stock Analysis

Nippon Gas (TSE:8174) Will Pay A Dividend Of ¥46.25

TSE:8174
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Nippon Gas Co., Ltd.'s (TSE:8174) investors are due to receive a payment of ¥46.25 per share on 26th of June. This takes the dividend yield to 4.6%, which shareholders will be pleased with.

Check out our latest analysis for Nippon Gas

Nippon Gas' Future Dividends May Potentially Be At Risk

We like to see robust dividend yields, but that doesn't matter if the payment isn't sustainable. Prior to this announcement, Nippon Gas was quite comfortably covering its dividend with earnings and it was paying more than 75% of its free cash flow to shareholders. The company is clearly earning enough to pay this type of dividend, but it is definitely focused on returning cash to shareholders, rather than growing the business.

The next 12 months is set to see EPS grow by 12.6%. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could reach 124%, which probably can't continue without putting some pressure on the balance sheet.

historic-dividend
TSE:8174 Historic Dividend December 5th 2024

Dividend Volatility

The company's dividend history has been marked by instability, with at least one cut in the last 10 years. Since 2014, the annual payment back then was ¥8.67, compared to the most recent full-year payment of ¥92.50. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 27% a year over that time. Despite the rapid growth in the dividend over the past number of years, we have seen the payments go down the past as well, so that makes us cautious.

The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to see if earnings per share is growing. Nippon Gas has impressed us by growing EPS at 11% per year over the past five years. The company is paying a reasonable amount of earnings to shareholders, and is growing earnings at a decent rate so we think it could be a decent dividend stock.

Our Thoughts On Nippon Gas' Dividend

Overall, we always like to see the dividend being raised, but we don't think Nippon Gas will make a great income stock. The company hasn't been paying a very consistent dividend over time, despite only paying out a small portion of earnings. We don't think Nippon Gas is a great stock to add to your portfolio if income is your focus.

Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. For instance, we've picked out 1 warning sign for Nippon Gas that investors should take into consideration. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.