The board of Nippon Gas Co., Ltd. (TSE:8174) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 26th of June, with investors receiving ¥46.25 per share. This will take the annual payment to 4.3% of the stock price, which is above what most companies in the industry pay.
Check out our latest analysis for Nippon Gas
Estimates Indicate Nippon Gas' Could Struggle to Maintain Dividend Payments In The Future
If the payments aren't sustainable, a high yield for a few years won't matter that much. Based on the last payment, the dividend made up 76% of cash flows, but a higher proportion of net income. The company could be more focused on returning cash to shareholders, but this could indicate that growth opportunities are few and far between.
The next 12 months is set to see EPS grow by 12.6%. If the dividend continues on its recent course, the payout ratio in 12 months could be 126%, which is a bit high and could start applying pressure to the balance sheet.
Dividend Volatility
The company has a long dividend track record, but it doesn't look great with cuts in the past. Since 2015, the annual payment back then was ¥8.67, compared to the most recent full-year payment of ¥92.50. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 27% over that duration. Dividends have grown rapidly over this time, but with cuts in the past we are not certain that this stock will be a reliable source of income in the future.
Dividend Growth Could Be Constrained
Growing earnings per share could be a mitigating factor when considering the past fluctuations in the dividend. Nippon Gas has impressed us by growing EPS at 11% per year over the past five years. However, the payout ratio is very high, not leaving much room for growth of the dividend in the future.
The Dividend Could Prove To Be Unreliable
Overall, we always like to see the dividend being raised, but we don't think Nippon Gas will make a great income stock. Strong earnings growth means Nippon Gas has the potential to be a good dividend stock in the future, despite the current payments being at elevated levels. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.
Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. For example, we've picked out 1 warning sign for Nippon Gas that investors should know about before committing capital to this stock. Is Nippon Gas not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:8174
Nippon Gas
Engages in the supply and sale of LP gas and natural gas in Japan.
Flawless balance sheet average dividend payer.