Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Seino Holdings Co., Ltd. (TSE:9076) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
View our latest analysis for Seino Holdings
What Is Seino Holdings's Net Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2024 Seino Holdings had JP¥83.9b of debt, an increase on JP¥39.5b, over one year. But it also has JP¥120.3b in cash to offset that, meaning it has JP¥36.4b net cash.
A Look At Seino Holdings' Liabilities
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Seino Holdings had liabilities of JP¥154.0b falling due within a year, and liabilities of JP¥133.0b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of JP¥120.3b and JP¥106.3b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling JP¥60.3b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
Since publicly traded Seino Holdings shares are worth a total of JP¥397.2b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Seino Holdings also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.
Seino Holdings's EBIT was pretty flat over the last year, but that shouldn't be an issue given the it doesn't have a lot of debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Seino Holdings's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. While Seino Holdings has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. During the last three years, Seino Holdings produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 64% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.
Summing Up
Although Seino Holdings's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of JP¥36.4b. So we are not troubled with Seino Holdings's debt use. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 1 warning sign with Seino Holdings , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:9076
Seino Holdings
Provides transportation services in Japan and internationally.
Excellent balance sheet with reasonable growth potential and pays a dividend.