Konoike Transport Co.,Ltd.

TSE:9025 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥147.4b

Konoike TransportLtd Valuation

Is 9025 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 9025 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 9025 (¥2825) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥4777.99)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 9025 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 9025?

Key metric: As 9025 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 9025. This is calculated by dividing 9025's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 9025's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio9.6x
EarningsJP¥15.54b
Market CapJP¥147.44b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 9025's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 9025 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average15.5x
9090 AZ-COM MARUWA Holdings
18.4x16.5%JP¥139.8b
2384 SBS Holdings
11.5x12.8%JP¥94.0b
9058 Trancom
21.8x7.1%JP¥94.8b
9037 Hamakyorex
10.4x4.9%JP¥91.4b
9025 Konoike TransportLtd
9.6x-0.04%JP¥147.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 9025 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.6x) compared to the peer average (15.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 9025's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Logistics Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
9025 9.6xIndustry Avg. 11.7xNo. of Companies6PE0816243240+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 9025 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.6x) compared to the JP Logistics industry average (11.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 9025's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

9025 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio9.6x
Fair PE Ratio10.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 9025 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.8x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 9025 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥2,825.00
JP¥2,787.50
-1.3%
11.7%JP¥3,200.00JP¥2,400.00n/a4
Nov ’25JP¥2,447.00
JP¥2,787.50
+13.9%
11.7%JP¥3,200.00JP¥2,400.00n/a4
Oct ’25JP¥2,489.00
JP¥2,716.67
+9.1%
12.8%JP¥3,200.00JP¥2,400.00n/a3
Sep ’25JP¥2,451.00
JP¥2,716.67
+10.8%
12.8%JP¥3,200.00JP¥2,400.00n/a3
Aug ’25JP¥2,324.00
JP¥2,650.00
+14.0%
9.6%JP¥3,000.00JP¥2,400.00n/a3
Jul ’25JP¥2,359.00
JP¥2,650.00
+12.3%
9.6%JP¥3,000.00JP¥2,400.00n/a3
Jun ’25JP¥2,259.00
JP¥2,500.00
+10.7%
18.3%JP¥3,000.00JP¥1,800.00n/a4
May ’25JP¥2,247.00
JP¥2,500.00
+11.3%
18.3%JP¥3,000.00JP¥1,800.00n/a4
Apr ’25JP¥2,155.00
JP¥2,200.00
+2.1%
26.7%JP¥3,000.00JP¥1,500.00n/a4
Mar ’25JP¥1,857.00
JP¥2,075.00
+11.7%
21.1%JP¥2,500.00JP¥1,500.00n/a4
Feb ’25JP¥1,970.00
JP¥2,075.00
+5.3%
21.1%JP¥2,500.00JP¥1,500.00n/a4
Jan ’25JP¥1,950.00
JP¥1,933.33
-0.9%
21.7%JP¥2,500.00JP¥1,500.00n/a3
Dec ’24JP¥1,972.00
JP¥1,933.33
-2.0%
21.7%JP¥2,500.00JP¥1,500.00n/a3
Nov ’24JP¥2,019.00
JP¥2,050.00
+1.5%
20.3%JP¥2,500.00JP¥1,500.00JP¥2,447.004
Oct ’24JP¥1,934.00
JP¥2,050.00
+6.0%
20.3%JP¥2,500.00JP¥1,500.00JP¥2,489.004
Sep ’24JP¥2,060.00
JP¥2,000.00
-2.9%
19.0%JP¥2,500.00JP¥1,500.00JP¥2,451.004
Aug ’24JP¥1,791.00
JP¥1,875.00
+4.7%
13.8%JP¥2,200.00JP¥1,500.00JP¥2,324.004
Jul ’24JP¥1,650.00
JP¥1,875.00
+13.6%
13.8%JP¥2,200.00JP¥1,500.00JP¥2,359.004
Jun ’24JP¥1,471.00
JP¥1,900.00
+29.2%
13.4%JP¥2,200.00JP¥1,500.00JP¥2,259.004
May ’24JP¥1,617.00
JP¥1,900.00
+17.5%
13.4%JP¥2,200.00JP¥1,500.00JP¥2,247.004
Apr ’24JP¥1,489.00
JP¥1,900.00
+27.6%
13.4%JP¥2,200.00JP¥1,500.00JP¥2,155.004
Mar ’24JP¥1,480.00
JP¥1,900.00
+28.4%
13.4%JP¥2,200.00JP¥1,500.00JP¥1,857.004
Feb ’24JP¥1,559.00
JP¥1,900.00
+21.9%
13.4%JP¥2,200.00JP¥1,500.00JP¥1,970.004
Jan ’24JP¥1,608.00
JP¥1,900.00
+18.2%
13.4%JP¥2,200.00JP¥1,500.00JP¥1,950.004
Dec ’23JP¥1,556.00
JP¥1,762.50
+13.3%
13.5%JP¥2,000.00JP¥1,500.00JP¥1,972.004
Nov ’23JP¥1,544.00
JP¥1,762.50
+14.2%
13.5%JP¥2,000.00JP¥1,500.00JP¥2,019.004

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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