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Here's What's Concerning About Keisei Electric Railway's (TSE:9009) Returns On Capital
To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? One common approach is to try and find a company with returns on capital employed (ROCE) that are increasing, in conjunction with a growing amount of capital employed. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. However, after investigating Keisei Electric Railway (TSE:9009), we don't think it's current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on Keisei Electric Railway is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.03 = JP¥25b ÷ (JP¥1.1t - JP¥224b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).
Therefore, Keisei Electric Railway has an ROCE of 3.0%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Transportation industry average of 4.8%.
Check out our latest analysis for Keisei Electric Railway
In the above chart we have measured Keisei Electric Railway's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free analyst report for Keisei Electric Railway .
The Trend Of ROCE
On the surface, the trend of ROCE at Keisei Electric Railway doesn't inspire confidence. To be more specific, ROCE has fallen from 4.6% over the last five years. Although, given both revenue and the amount of assets employed in the business have increased, it could suggest the company is investing in growth, and the extra capital has led to a short-term reduction in ROCE. And if the increased capital generates additional returns, the business, and thus shareholders, will benefit in the long run.
The Bottom Line On Keisei Electric Railway's ROCE
While returns have fallen for Keisei Electric Railway in recent times, we're encouraged to see that sales are growing and that the business is reinvesting in its operations. In light of this, the stock has only gained 40% over the last five years. Therefore we'd recommend looking further into this stock to confirm if it has the makings of a good investment.
One more thing: We've identified 3 warning signs with Keisei Electric Railway (at least 2 which make us uncomfortable) , and understanding these would certainly be useful.
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Keisei Electric Railway might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:9009
Keisei Electric Railway
Engages in the provision of public railway transportation services for local communities in Japan.
Proven track record slight.