Stock Analysis

Tokyu (TSE:9005) Is Increasing Its Dividend To ¥11.00

TSE:9005
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Tokyu Corporation (TSE:9005) will increase its dividend from last year's comparable payment on the 5th of December to ¥11.00. Based on this payment, the dividend yield for the company will be 1.3%, which is fairly typical for the industry.

Check out our latest analysis for Tokyu

Tokyu's Earnings Easily Cover The Distributions

We like to see a healthy dividend yield, but that is only helpful to us if the payment can continue. Before making this announcement, Tokyu was easily earning enough to cover the dividend. This means that most of its earnings are being retained to grow the business.

Over the next year, EPS is forecast to expand by 5.6%. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 19%, which is in the range that makes us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend.

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TSE:9005 Historic Dividend August 19th 2024

Dividend Volatility

The company has a long dividend track record, but it doesn't look great with cuts in the past. The dividend has gone from an annual total of ¥16.00 in 2014 to the most recent total annual payment of ¥22.00. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 3.2% over that duration. It's encouraging to see some dividend growth, but the dividend has been cut at least once, and the size of the cut would eliminate most of the growth anyway, which makes this less attractive as an income investment.

Dividend Growth May Be Hard To Achieve

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share is growing, which could point to a growing dividend in the future. Earnings have grown at around 2.3% a year for the past five years, which isn't massive but still better than seeing them shrink. While growth may be thin on the ground, Tokyu could always pay out a higher proportion of earnings to increase shareholder returns.

Our Thoughts On Tokyu's Dividend

Overall, it's great to see the dividend being raised and that it is still in a sustainable range. The dividend has been at reasonable levels historically, but that hasn't translated into a consistent payment. The payment isn't stellar, but it could make a decent addition to a dividend portfolio.

Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. Taking the debate a bit further, we've identified 1 warning sign for Tokyu that investors need to be conscious of moving forward. Is Tokyu not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.