What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? One common approach is to try and find a company with returns on capital employed (ROCE) that are increasing, in conjunction with a growing amount of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. In light of that, when we looked at Tokyu (TSE:9005) and its ROCE trend, we weren't exactly thrilled.
What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Tokyu:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.041 = JP¥77b ÷ (JP¥2.6t - JP¥723b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).
So, Tokyu has an ROCE of 4.1%. In absolute terms, that's a low return but it's around the Transportation industry average of 4.6%.
See our latest analysis for Tokyu
In the above chart we have measured Tokyu's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free analyst report for Tokyu .
How Are Returns Trending?
Over the past five years, Tokyu's ROCE and capital employed have both remained mostly flat. This tells us the company isn't reinvesting in itself, so it's plausible that it's past the growth phase. So don't be surprised if Tokyu doesn't end up being a multi-bagger in a few years time.
The Key Takeaway
In a nutshell, Tokyu has been trudging along with the same returns from the same amount of capital over the last five years. And investors may be recognizing these trends since the stock has only returned a total of 7.1% to shareholders over the last five years. As a result, if you're hunting for a multi-bagger, we think you'd have more luck elsewhere.
If you'd like to know about the risks facing Tokyu, we've discovered 1 warning sign that you should be aware of.
While Tokyu isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:9005
Tokyu
Engages in the transportation, real estate, life services, and hotel and resort businesses in Japan and internationally.
Solid track record second-rate dividend payer.