IPS Valuation

Is 4390 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 4390 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 4390 (¥2677) is trading above our estimate of fair value (¥1255.02)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 4390 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4390?

Key metric: As 4390 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 4390. This is calculated by dividing 4390's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 4390's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio12.2x
EarningsJP¥2.84b
Market CapJP¥34.03b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 4390's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 4390 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average16x
4439 ToumeiLtd
23.3x17.8%JP¥35.8b
3830 Giga PrizeLtd
10.3x11.9%JP¥24.7b
9416 Vision
20.3x12.9%JP¥68.3b
9445 Forval TelecomInc
10.2xn/aJP¥7.5b
12.2x10.7%JP¥34.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 4390 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.2x) compared to the peer average (16x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 4390's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Telecom Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
4390 12.2xIndustry Avg. 15.0xNo. of Companies18PE01224364860+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 4390 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.2x) compared to the Asian Telecom industry average (15x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 4390's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

4390 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio12.2x
Fair PE Ratio14.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 4390 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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