Stock Analysis

Espec (TSE:6859) Will Pay A Dividend Of ¥35.00

TSE:6859
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Espec Corp.'s (TSE:6859) investors are due to receive a payment of ¥35.00 per share on 11th of December. This will take the annual payment to 2.8% of the stock price, which is above what most companies in the industry pay.

Check out our latest analysis for Espec

Espec's Dividend Is Well Covered By Earnings

A big dividend yield for a few years doesn't mean much if it can't be sustained. Based on the last payment, Espec was paying only paying out a fraction of earnings, but the payment was a massive 351% of cash flows. While the business may be attempting to set a balanced dividend policy, a cash payout ratio this high might expose the dividend to being cut if the business ran into some challenges.

The next year is set to see EPS grow by 6.8%. If the dividend continues on this path, the payout ratio could be 39% by next year, which we think can be pretty sustainable going forward.

historic-dividend
TSE:6859 Historic Dividend July 26th 2024

Dividend Volatility

The company has a long dividend track record, but it doesn't look great with cuts in the past. Since 2014, the annual payment back then was ¥18.00, compared to the most recent full-year payment of ¥80.00. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 16% a year over that time. It is great to see strong growth in the dividend payments, but cuts are concerning as it may indicate the payout policy is too ambitious.

Espec May Find It Hard To Grow The Dividend

Growing earnings per share could be a mitigating factor when considering the past fluctuations in the dividend. However, Espec has only grown its earnings per share at 3.9% per annum over the past five years. While growth may be thin on the ground, Espec could always pay out a higher proportion of earnings to increase shareholder returns.

Our Thoughts On Espec's Dividend

In summary, while it's always good to see the dividend being raised, we don't think Espec's payments are rock solid. While the low payout ratio is a redeeming feature, this is offset by the minimal cash to cover the payments. This company is not in the top tier of income providing stocks.

Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. Taking the debate a bit further, we've identified 1 warning sign for Espec that investors need to be conscious of moving forward. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.