Espec Corp. (TSE:6859) will pay a dividend of ¥35.00 on the 11th of December. This makes the dividend yield 2.6%, which is above the industry average.
See our latest analysis for Espec
Espec's Payment Has Solid Earnings Coverage
We like to see robust dividend yields, but that doesn't matter if the payment isn't sustainable. Before making this announcement, Espec was paying a whopping 351% as a dividend, but this only made up 32% of its overall earnings. A cash payout ratio this high could put the dividend under pressure and force the company to reduce it in the future if it were to run into tough times.
Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to rise by 6.8% over the next year. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could be 39% by next year, which is in a pretty sustainable range.
Dividend Volatility
The company's dividend history has been marked by instability, with at least one cut in the last 10 years. Since 2014, the annual payment back then was ¥18.00, compared to the most recent full-year payment of ¥80.00. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 16% over that duration. Despite the rapid growth in the dividend over the past number of years, we have seen the payments go down the past as well, so that makes us cautious.
Espec May Find It Hard To Grow The Dividend
Growing earnings per share could be a mitigating factor when considering the past fluctuations in the dividend. However, Espec has only grown its earnings per share at 3.9% per annum over the past five years. While EPS growth is quite low, Espec has the option to increase the payout ratio to return more cash to shareholders.
In Summary
Overall, we always like to see the dividend being raised, but we don't think Espec will make a great income stock. While Espec is earning enough to cover the payments, the cash flows are lacking. This company is not in the top tier of income providing stocks.
Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. Taking the debate a bit further, we've identified 1 warning sign for Espec that investors need to be conscious of moving forward. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.
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About TSE:6859
Solid track record with excellent balance sheet.