Amano Valuation

Is 6436 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 6436 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 6436 (¥3853) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥4597.58)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 6436 is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 6436?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

6436 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.5x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA7.5x
PEG Ratio2.8x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 6436's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 6436 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average25.1x
7762 Citizen Watch
10.9x-0.3%JP¥248.0b
7734 Riken Keiki
22.5x13.4%JP¥182.6b
7732 Topcon
46.2x36.7%JP¥198.8b
6754 Anritsu
20.9x13.0%JP¥160.4b
6436 Amano
21x7.5%JP¥276.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 6436 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21x) compared to the peer average (25.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 6436's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Electronic Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a13.4%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a13.4%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 6436 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21x) compared to the JP Electronic industry average (14x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 6436's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

6436 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio21x
Fair PE Ratio14.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 6436 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 6436 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥3,853.00
JP¥3,750.00
-2.7%
12.0%JP¥4,200.00JP¥3,300.00n/a2
May ’25JP¥3,773.00
JP¥3,750.00
-0.6%
12.0%JP¥4,200.00JP¥3,300.00n/a2
Apr ’25JP¥3,802.00
JP¥3,750.00
-1.4%
12.0%JP¥4,200.00JP¥3,300.00n/a2
Mar ’25JP¥3,616.00
JP¥3,750.00
+3.7%
12.0%JP¥4,200.00JP¥3,300.00n/a2
Feb ’25JP¥3,447.00
JP¥3,400.00
-1.4%
2.9%JP¥3,500.00JP¥3,300.00n/a2
Jan ’25JP¥3,342.00
JP¥3,400.00
+1.7%
2.9%JP¥3,500.00JP¥3,300.00n/a2
Dec ’24JP¥3,177.00
JP¥3,400.00
+7.0%
2.9%JP¥3,500.00JP¥3,300.00n/a2
Nov ’24JP¥3,129.00
JP¥3,400.00
+8.7%
2.9%JP¥3,500.00JP¥3,300.00n/a2
Oct ’24JP¥3,282.00
JP¥3,400.00
+3.6%
2.9%JP¥3,500.00JP¥3,300.00n/a2
Sep ’24JP¥3,189.00
JP¥3,300.00
+3.5%
6.1%JP¥3,500.00JP¥3,100.00n/a2
Aug ’24JP¥3,191.00
JP¥3,300.00
+3.4%
6.1%JP¥3,500.00JP¥3,100.00n/a2
Jun ’24JP¥2,948.00
JP¥3,050.00
+3.5%
1.6%JP¥3,100.00JP¥3,000.00n/a2
May ’24JP¥2,810.00
JP¥3,050.00
+8.5%
1.6%JP¥3,100.00JP¥3,000.00JP¥3,773.002
Apr ’24JP¥2,495.00
JP¥2,900.00
+16.2%
3.4%JP¥3,000.00JP¥2,800.00JP¥3,802.002
Mar ’24JP¥2,540.00
JP¥3,050.00
+20.1%
8.2%JP¥3,300.00JP¥2,800.00JP¥3,616.002
Feb ’24JP¥2,333.00
JP¥3,050.00
+30.7%
8.2%JP¥3,300.00JP¥2,800.00JP¥3,447.002
Jan ’24JP¥2,433.00
JP¥3,050.00
+25.4%
8.2%JP¥3,300.00JP¥2,800.00JP¥3,342.002
Dec ’23JP¥2,466.00
JP¥2,850.00
+15.6%
1.8%JP¥2,900.00JP¥2,800.00JP¥3,177.002
Nov ’23JP¥2,525.00
JP¥2,850.00
+12.9%
1.8%JP¥2,900.00JP¥2,800.00JP¥3,129.002
Oct ’23JP¥2,430.00
JP¥2,850.00
+17.3%
1.8%JP¥2,900.00JP¥2,800.00JP¥3,282.002
Sep ’23JP¥2,528.00
JP¥2,850.00
+12.7%
1.8%JP¥2,900.00JP¥2,800.00JP¥3,189.002
Aug ’23JP¥2,584.00
JP¥2,850.00
+10.3%
1.8%JP¥2,900.00JP¥2,800.00JP¥3,191.002
Jul ’23JP¥2,348.00
JP¥2,850.00
+21.4%
1.8%JP¥2,900.00JP¥2,800.00JP¥3,028.002
Jun ’23JP¥2,556.00
JP¥2,850.00
+11.5%
1.8%JP¥2,900.00JP¥2,800.00JP¥2,948.002
May ’23JP¥2,509.00
JP¥2,850.00
+13.6%
1.8%JP¥2,900.00JP¥2,800.00JP¥2,810.002

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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