Stock Analysis

Is New Cosmos Electric Co.,Ltd.'s (TYO:6824) Recent Stock Performance Influenced By Its Fundamentals In Any Way?

TSE:6824
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New Cosmos ElectricLtd (TYO:6824) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 60% over the last three months. Given that stock prices are usually aligned with a company's financial performance in the long-term, we decided to study its financial indicators more closely to see if they had a hand to play in the recent price move. In this article, we decided to focus on New Cosmos ElectricLtd's ROE.

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

See our latest analysis for New Cosmos ElectricLtd

How Is ROE Calculated?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) Ă· Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for New Cosmos ElectricLtd is:

5.1% = JPÂĄ1.7b Ă· JPÂĄ33b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2020).

The 'return' is the yearly profit. So, this means that for every ÂĄ1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of ÂĄ0.05.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company’s earnings growth potential. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

A Side By Side comparison of New Cosmos ElectricLtd's Earnings Growth And 5.1% ROE

At first glance, New Cosmos ElectricLtd's ROE doesn't look very promising. Yet, a closer study shows that the company's ROE is similar to the industry average of 5.9%. Even so, New Cosmos ElectricLtd has shown a fairly decent growth in its net income which grew at a rate of 11%. Taking into consideration that the ROE is not particularly high, we reckon that there could also be other factors at play which could be influencing the company's growth. For instance, the company has a low payout ratio or is being managed efficiently.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that New Cosmos ElectricLtd's growth is quite high when compared to the industry average growth of 8.2% in the same period, which is great to see.

past-earnings-growth
JASDAQ:6824 Past Earnings Growth January 13th 2021

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if New Cosmos ElectricLtd is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is New Cosmos ElectricLtd Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

New Cosmos ElectricLtd's three-year median payout ratio to shareholders is 20% (implying that it retains 80% of its income), which is on the lower side, so it seems like the management is reinvesting profits heavily to grow its business.

Besides, New Cosmos ElectricLtd has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more. This shows that the company is committed to sharing profits with its shareholders.

Summary

On the whole, we do feel that New Cosmos ElectricLtd has some positive attributes. With a high rate of reinvestment, albeit at a low ROE, the company has managed to see a considerable growth in its earnings. While we won't completely dismiss the company, what we would do, is try to ascertain how risky the business is to make a more informed decision around the company. Our risks dashboard will have the 1 risk we have identified for New Cosmos ElectricLtd.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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