DTS Valuation

Is 9682 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 9682 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 9682 (¥4050) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥5229.4)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 9682 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 9682?

Key metric: As 9682 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 9682. This is calculated by dividing 9682's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 9682's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio22.3x
EarningsJP¥7.61b
Market CapJP¥169.37b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 9682's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 9682 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average20.3x
4722 Future
17.1x14.0%JP¥173.3b
4373 Simplex Holdings
24x21.0%JP¥147.2b
7595 ARGO GRAPHICS
15.9xn/aJP¥109.5b
6947 Zuken
24.3xn/aJP¥93.6b
22.3x12.4%JP¥169.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 9682 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.3x) compared to the peer average (20.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 9682's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP IT Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
9682 22.3xIndustry Avg. 17.5xNo. of Companies30PE01020304050+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 9682 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.3x) compared to the JP IT industry average (17.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 9682's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

9682 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio22.3x
Fair PE Ratio25.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 9682 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 9682 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥4,050.00
JP¥4,516.67
+11.5%
10.7%JP¥5,200.00JP¥4,150.00n/a3
Nov ’25JP¥3,895.00
JP¥4,516.67
+16.0%
10.7%JP¥5,200.00JP¥4,150.00n/a3
Oct ’25JP¥4,035.00
JP¥4,316.67
+7.0%
15.4%JP¥5,200.00JP¥3,600.00n/a3
Sep ’25JP¥4,120.00
JP¥4,316.67
+4.8%
15.4%JP¥5,200.00JP¥3,600.00n/a3
Aug ’25JP¥4,220.00
JP¥4,316.67
+2.3%
15.4%JP¥5,200.00JP¥3,600.00n/a3
Jul ’25JP¥4,195.00
JP¥4,316.67
+2.9%
15.4%JP¥5,200.00JP¥3,600.00n/a3
Jun ’25JP¥4,165.00
JP¥4,316.67
+3.6%
15.4%JP¥5,200.00JP¥3,600.00n/a3
May ’25JP¥4,280.00
JP¥4,316.67
+0.9%
15.4%JP¥5,200.00JP¥3,600.00n/a3
Apr ’25JP¥4,045.00
JP¥4,316.67
+6.7%
15.4%JP¥5,200.00JP¥3,600.00n/a3
Mar ’25JP¥3,960.00
JP¥4,133.33
+4.4%
18.2%JP¥5,200.00JP¥3,600.00n/a3
Feb ’25JP¥3,615.00
JP¥4,000.00
+10.7%
14.1%JP¥4,800.00JP¥3,600.00n/a3
Jan ’25JP¥3,525.00
JP¥4,000.00
+13.5%
14.1%JP¥4,800.00JP¥3,600.00n/a3
Dec ’24JP¥3,530.00
JP¥4,000.00
+13.3%
14.1%JP¥4,800.00JP¥3,600.00n/a3
Nov ’24JP¥3,100.00
JP¥3,933.33
+26.9%
12.0%JP¥4,600.00JP¥3,600.00JP¥3,895.003
Oct ’24JP¥3,190.00
JP¥3,933.33
+23.3%
12.0%JP¥4,600.00JP¥3,600.00JP¥4,035.003
Sep ’24JP¥3,270.00
JP¥3,816.67
+16.7%
15.0%JP¥4,600.00JP¥3,250.00JP¥4,120.003
Aug ’24JP¥3,315.00
JP¥3,816.67
+15.1%
15.0%JP¥4,600.00JP¥3,250.00JP¥4,220.003
Jul ’24JP¥3,385.00
JP¥3,683.33
+8.8%
17.6%JP¥4,600.00JP¥3,200.00JP¥4,195.003
Jun ’24JP¥3,465.00
JP¥3,683.33
+6.3%
17.6%JP¥4,600.00JP¥3,200.00JP¥4,165.003
May ’24JP¥3,270.00
JP¥3,616.67
+10.6%
15.3%JP¥4,400.00JP¥3,200.00JP¥4,280.003
Apr ’24JP¥3,220.00
JP¥3,616.67
+12.3%
15.3%JP¥4,400.00JP¥3,200.00JP¥4,045.003
Mar ’24JP¥3,180.00
JP¥3,666.67
+15.3%
14.3%JP¥4,400.00JP¥3,200.00JP¥3,960.003
Feb ’24JP¥3,155.00
JP¥3,833.33
+21.5%
19.8%JP¥4,900.00JP¥3,200.00JP¥3,615.003
Jan ’24JP¥2,982.00
JP¥3,833.33
+28.5%
19.8%JP¥4,900.00JP¥3,200.00JP¥3,525.003
Dec ’23JP¥3,305.00
JP¥4,233.33
+28.1%
11.3%JP¥4,900.00JP¥3,800.00JP¥3,530.003
Nov ’23JP¥3,500.00
JP¥4,233.33
+21.0%
11.3%JP¥4,900.00JP¥3,800.00JP¥3,100.003

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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