Saison Technology Co., Ltd. (TSE:9640) will pay a dividend of ¥45.00 on the 19th of June. This makes the dividend yield 5.0%, which will augment investor returns quite nicely.
See our latest analysis for Saison Technology
Estimates Indicate Saison Technology's Could Struggle to Maintain Dividend Payments In The Future
We like to see robust dividend yields, but that doesn't matter if the payment isn't sustainable. Based on the last payment, earnings were actually smaller than the dividend, and the company was actually spending more cash than it was making. This high of a dividend payment could start to put pressure on the balance sheet in the future.
If the company can't turn things around, EPS could fall by 9.6% over the next year. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we believe the payout ratio could reach 142%, which could put the dividend under pressure if earnings don't start to improve.
Dividend Volatility
While the company has been paying a dividend for a long time, it has cut the dividend at least once in the last 10 years. The dividend has gone from an annual total of ¥35.00 in 2015 to the most recent total annual payment of ¥90.00. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 9.9% per annum over that time. We like to see dividends have grown at a reasonable rate, but with at least one substantial cut in the payments, we're not certain this dividend stock would be ideal for someone intending to live on the income.
Dividend Growth Is Doubtful
Growing earnings per share could be a mitigating factor when considering the past fluctuations in the dividend. Over the past five years, it looks as though Saison Technology's EPS has declined at around 9.6% a year. Declining earnings will inevitably lead to the company paying a lower dividend in line with lower profits.
We're Not Big Fans Of Saison Technology's Dividend
In summary, while it is good to see that the dividend hasn't been cut, we think that at current levels the payment isn't particularly sustainable. The company's earnings aren't high enough to be making such big distributions, and it isn't backed up by strong growth or consistency either. The dividend doesn't inspire confidence that it will provide solid income in the future.
Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. For instance, we've picked out 2 warning signs for Saison Technology that investors should take into consideration. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:9640
Saison Technology
Engages in the system development and operation, and software package businesses in Japan.
Flawless balance sheet with proven track record.