PCA Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of 9629 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

9629 (¥2021) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] (¥3910.53)

Is 9629 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 9629 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 9629 (¥2021) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥3910.53)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 9629 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 9629?

Key metric: As 9629 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 9629. This is calculated by dividing 9629's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 9629's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	21.7x
Earnings	JP¥1.86b
Market Cap	JP¥39.80b

9629 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	1.2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	6.8x
PEG Ratio	n/a

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 9629's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 9629 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	23.3x
3663 CELSYS	23.5x	n/a	JP¥43.2b
4323 Japan System Techniques	22.7x	n/a	JP¥44.7b
9739 NSW	10.7x	n/a	JP¥44.7b
4312 Cybernet Systems	36.3x	n/a	JP¥33.8b
9629 PCA	21.7x	n/a	JP¥39.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 9629 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.7x) compared to the peer average (23.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 9629's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Software Industry?

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies available in this PE range

0 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 9629 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.7x) compared to the JP Software industry average (23.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 9629's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

9629 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	21.7x
Fair PE Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate 9629's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.

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