The TDSE Inc. (TSE:7046) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 40%. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 51% loss during that time.
Even after such a large drop in price, it's still not a stretch to say that TDSE's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 12.3x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the market in Japan, where the median P/E ratio is around 13x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/E.
For example, consider that TDSE's financial performance has been pretty ordinary lately as earnings growth is non-existent. It might be that many expect the uninspiring earnings performance to only match most other companies at best over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from rising. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
See our latest analysis for TDSE
Although there are no analyst estimates available for TDSE, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Some Growth For TDSE?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, TDSE would need to produce growth that's similar to the market.
If we review the last year of earnings, the company posted a result that saw barely any deviation from a year ago. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 321% overall rise in EPS, in spite of its uninspiring short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Comparing that to the market, which is only predicted to deliver 9.8% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is stronger based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.
With this information, we find it interesting that TDSE is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance is at its limits and have been accepting lower selling prices.
The Key Takeaway
TDSE's plummeting stock price has brought its P/E right back to the rest of the market. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've established that TDSE currently trades on a lower than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider market forecast. When we see strong earnings with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/E ratio. It appears some are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because the persistence of these recent medium-term conditions would normally provide a boost to the share price.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for TDSE you should be aware of, and 1 of them is potentially serious.
If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if TDSE might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About TSE:7046
TDSE
Primarily provides consulting services on information processing and computer systems in Japan.
Flawless balance sheet and good value.