Stock Analysis

Speee, Inc. (TSE:4499) Stocks Shoot Up 27% But Its P/S Still Looks Reasonable

TSE:4499
Source: Shutterstock

Despite an already strong run, Speee, Inc. (TSE:4499) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 27% in the last thirty days. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 30%.

Since its price has surged higher, you could be forgiven for thinking Speee is a stock not worth researching with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 2.1x, considering almost half the companies in Japan's IT industry have P/S ratios below 1.1x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

Check out our latest analysis for Speee

ps-multiple-vs-industry
TSE:4499 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 11th 2024

How Has Speee Performed Recently?

The revenue growth achieved at Speee over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this respectable revenue growth will be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Speee will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Speee's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 18% last year. The latest three year period has also seen a 28% overall rise in revenue, aided extensively by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Comparing that recent medium-term revenue trajectory with the industry's one-year growth forecast of 6.7% shows it's noticeably more attractive.

In light of this, it's understandable that Speee's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Presumably shareholders aren't keen to offload something they believe will continue to outmanoeuvre the wider industry.

The Key Takeaway

Speee shares have taken a big step in a northerly direction, but its P/S is elevated as a result. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of Speee revealed its three-year revenue trends are contributing to its high P/S, given they look better than current industry expectations. At this stage investors feel the potential continued revenue growth in the future is great enough to warrant an inflated P/S. Barring any significant changes to the company's ability to make money, the share price should continue to be propped up.

It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for Speee that you need to take into consideration.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Speee, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place

We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.

• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks

Try a Demo Portfolio for Free

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.