Valtes Holdings Co.,Ltd. (TSE:4442), is not the largest company out there, but it saw a double-digit share price rise of over 10% in the past couple of months on the TSE. While good news for shareholders, the company has traded much higher in the past year. As a small cap stock, hardly covered by any analysts, there is generally more of an opportunity for mispricing as there is less activity to push the stock closer to fair value. Is there still an opportunity here to buy? Let’s examine Valtes HoldingsLtd’s valuation and outlook in more detail to determine if there’s still a bargain opportunity.
See our latest analysis for Valtes HoldingsLtd
What's The Opportunity In Valtes HoldingsLtd?
According to our price multiple model, which makes a comparison between the company's price-to-earnings ratio and the industry average, the stock price seems to be justfied. We’ve used the price-to-earnings ratio in this instance because there’s not enough visibility to forecast its cash flows. The stock’s ratio of 18.92x is currently trading slightly above its industry peers’ ratio of 17.9x, which means if you buy Valtes HoldingsLtd today, you’d be paying a relatively reasonable price for it. And if you believe that Valtes HoldingsLtd should be trading at this level in the long run, then there should only be a fairly immaterial downside vs other industry peers. In addition to this, it seems like Valtes HoldingsLtd’s share price is quite stable, which could mean there may be less chances to buy low in the future now that it’s trading around the price multiples of other industry peers. This is because the stock is less volatile than the wider market given its low beta.
Can we expect growth from Valtes HoldingsLtd?
Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Valtes HoldingsLtd's earnings over the next few years are expected to increase by 88%, indicating a highly optimistic future ahead. This should lead to more robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.
What This Means For You
Are you a shareholder? 4442’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading around industry price multiples. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at 4442? Will you have enough conviction to buy should the price fluctuate below the industry PE ratio?
Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on 4442, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around industry price multiples. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for 4442, which means it’s worth further examining other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.
So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. For example, Valtes HoldingsLtd has 3 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit concerning) we think you should know about.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About TSE:4442
Valtes HoldingsLtd
Provides QA process consulting, software testing and QA training, vulnerability diagnosis, and other quality assurance and software quality services in Japan.
Undervalued with excellent balance sheet.