Smaregi Valuation

Is 4431 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 4431 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 4431 (¥3120) is trading above our estimate of fair value (¥1426.11)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 4431 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4431?

Key metric: As 4431 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 4431. This is calculated by dividing 4431's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 4431's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	45x
Earnings	JP¥1.33b
Market Cap	JP¥60.01b

4431 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	6x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	25.4x
PEG Ratio	2.4x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 4431's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 4431 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	28x
9790 Fukui Computer HoldingsInc	14.8x	2.7%	JP¥59.2b
9928 Miroku Jyoho Service	12.7x	8.6%	JP¥56.8b
3661 m-up holdings	37.5x	n/a	JP¥57.0b
5027 AnyMind Group	46.7x	n/a	JP¥69.3b
4431 Smaregi	45x	18.7%	JP¥60.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 4431 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (45x) compared to the peer average (28x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 4431's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Software Industry?

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies available in this PE range

0 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 4431 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (45x) compared to the JP Software industry average (22.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 4431's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

4431 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	45x
Fair PE Ratio	23.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 4431 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (45x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.

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