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4167

Kokopelli TSE:4167 Stock Report

Last Price

JP¥701.00

Market Cap

JP¥5.5b

7D

-4.6%

1Y

-79.4%

Updated

26 Sep, 2022

Data

Company Financials
4167 fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation3/6
Future Growth0/6
Past Performance2/6
Financial Health6/6
Dividends0/6

4167 Stock Overview

Kokopelli Inc. provides technology solutions for small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) in Japan.

Kokopelli Competitors

Price History & Performance

Summary of all time highs, changes and price drops for Kokopelli
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceJP¥701.00
52 Week HighJP¥3,610.00
52 Week LowJP¥651.00
Beta0
1 Month Change-19.33%
3 Month Change-5.40%
1 Year Change-79.44%
3 Year Changen/a
5 Year Changen/a
Change since IPO-83.74%

Recent News & Updates

Shareholder Returns

4167JP SoftwareJP Market
7D-4.6%-3.1%-1.1%
1Y-79.4%-32.5%-9.1%

Return vs Industry: 4167 underperformed the JP Software industry which returned -32.5% over the past year.

Return vs Market: 4167 underperformed the JP Market which returned -9.1% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is 4167's price volatile compared to industry and market?
4167 volatility
4167 Average Weekly Movement7.6%
Software Industry Average Movement5.0%
Market Average Movement3.5%
10% most volatile stocks in JP Market7.4%
10% least volatile stocks in JP Market1.8%

Stable Share Price: 4167 is more volatile than 90% of JP stocks over the past 3 months, typically moving +/- 8% a week.

Volatility Over Time: 4167's weekly volatility (8%) has been stable over the past year, but is still higher than 75% of JP stocks.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
200764Shigeru Kondohttps://www.kokopelli-inc.com

Kokopelli Inc. provides technology solutions for small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) in Japan. The company offers Big Advance, a management support platform; Corporate Portal Site for regional financial institutions with corporate portal sites of SMEs; and FAI, an AI module. It also provides IT support services.

Kokopelli Fundamentals Summary

How do Kokopelli's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
4167 fundamental statistics
Market CapJP¥5.54b
Earnings (TTM)JP¥194.00m
Revenue (TTM)JP¥1.67b

28.6x

P/E Ratio

3.3x

P/S Ratio

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report
4167 income statement (TTM)
RevenueJP¥1.67b
Cost of RevenueJP¥700.00m
Gross ProfitJP¥969.00m
Other ExpensesJP¥775.00m
EarningsJP¥194.00m

Last Reported Earnings

Jun 30, 2022

Next Earnings Date

Nov 15, 2022

Earnings per share (EPS)24.54
Gross Margin58.06%
Net Profit Margin11.62%
Debt/Equity Ratio0.0%

How did 4167 perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison
We’ve recently updated our valuation analysis.

Valuation

Is 4167 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Analyst Forecast

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4167?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

4167 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue2.3x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA14.1x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 4167's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

4167 PE Ratio vs Peers
The above table shows the PE ratio for 4167 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyPEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average41.3x
4829 Nihon EnterpriseLtd
80.9xn/aJP¥5.7b
4075 Brains Technology
39.2xn/aJP¥5.5b
3680 Hottolink
10.9xn/aJP¥5.9b
2998 CREAL
34.2xn/aJP¥5.9b
4167 Kokopelli
28.6xn/aJP¥5.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 4167 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.6x) compared to the peer average (41.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 4167's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Software Industry?

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 4167 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.6x) compared to the JP Software industry average (23.3x)


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 4167's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

4167 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio28.6x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate 4167's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 4167 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 4167 (¥701) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥1276.13)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 4167 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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Future Growth

How is Kokopelli forecast to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 0 analysts?

Future Growth Score

0/6

Future Growth Score 0/6

  • Earnings vs Savings Rate

  • Earnings vs Market

  • High Growth Earnings

  • Revenue vs Market

  • High Growth Revenue

  • Future ROE


21.2%

Forecasted Software industry annual growth in earnings

In this section we usually present revenue and earnings growth projections based on the consensus estimates of professional analysts to help investors understand the company’s ability to generate profit. But as Kokopelli has not provided enough past data and has no analyst forecast, its future earnings cannot be reliably calculated by extrapolating past data or using analyst predictions.

This is quite a rare situation as 97% of companies covered by SimplyWall St do have past financial data.


Discover growth companies

  • Examine whether Kokopelli is trading at an attractive price based on how much it is expected to earn in the future, and relative to its industry peers and the wider market.

Past Performance

How has Kokopelli performed over the past 5 years?

Past Performance Score

2/6

Past Performance Score 2/6

  • Quality Earnings

  • Growing Profit Margin

  • Earnings Trend

  • Accelerating Growth

  • Earnings vs Industry

  • High ROE


55.8%

Historical annual earnings growth

Earnings and Revenue History

Quality Earnings: 4167 has high quality earnings.

Growing Profit Margin: 4167's current net profit margins (11.6%) are lower than last year (27.7%).


Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: 4167's earnings have grown significantly by 55.8% per year over the past 5 years.

Accelerating Growth: 4167's has had negative earnings growth over the past year, so it can't be compared to its 5-year average.

Earnings vs Industry: 4167 had negative earnings growth (-43.1%) over the past year, making it difficult to compare to the Software industry average (12%).


Return on Equity

High ROE: 4167's Return on Equity (10.2%) is considered low.


Discover strong past performing companies

Financial Health

How is Kokopelli's financial position?

Financial Health Score

6/6

Financial Health Score 6/6

  • Short Term Liabilities

  • Long Term Liabilities

  • Debt Level

  • Reducing Debt

  • Debt Coverage

  • Interest Coverage

Financial Position Analysis

Short Term Liabilities: 4167's short term assets (¥1.8B) exceed its short term liabilities (¥204.0M).

Long Term Liabilities: 4167's short term assets (¥1.8B) exceed its long term liabilities (¥1,000.0K).


Debt to Equity History and Analysis

Debt Level: 4167 is debt free.

Reducing Debt: 4167 had no debt 5 years ago.

Debt Coverage: 4167 has no debt, therefore it does not need to be covered by operating cash flow.

Interest Coverage: 4167 has no debt, therefore coverage of interest payments is not a concern.


Balance Sheet


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Dividend

What is Kokopelli current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?

Dividend Score

0/6

Dividend Score 0/6

  • Notable Dividend

  • High Dividend

  • Stable Dividend

  • Growing Dividend

  • Earnings Coverage

  • Cash Flow Coverage

Dividend Yield vs Market

Notable Dividend: Unable to evaluate 4167's dividend yield against the bottom 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any recent payouts.

High Dividend: Unable to evaluate 4167's dividend yield against the top 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any recent payouts.


Stability and Growth of Payments

Stable Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if 4167's dividends per share have been stable in the past.

Growing Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if 4167's dividend payments have been increasing.


Earnings Payout to Shareholders

Earnings Coverage: Insufficient data to calculate payout ratio to determine if its dividend payments are covered by earnings.


Cash Payout to Shareholders

Cash Flow Coverage: Unable to calculate sustainability of dividends as 4167 has not reported any payouts.


Discover strong dividend paying companies

Management

How experienced are the management team and are they aligned to shareholders interests?

2.8yrs

Average board tenure


CEO

Shigeru Kondo (44 yo)

15.25yrs

Tenure

Mr. Shigeru Kondo is CEO & Representative Director of Kokopelli Inc. from June 2007.


Board Members

Experienced Board: 4167's board of directors are not considered experienced ( 2.8 years average tenure), which suggests a new board.


Ownership

Who are the major shareholders and have insiders been buying or selling?


Insider Trading Volume

Insider Buying: Insufficient data to determine if insiders have bought more shares than they have sold in the past 3 months.


Ownership Breakdown

What is the ownership structure of 4167?
Owner TypeNumber of SharesOwnership Percentage
Public Companies188,3002.4%
Private Companies352,6004.5%
Institutions760,2209.6%
Individual Insiders3,229,20040.8%
General Public3,375,91042.7%

Dilution of Shares: Shareholders have not been meaningfully diluted in the past year.


Top Shareholders

Top 20 shareholders own 59.34% of the company
OwnershipNameSharesCurrent ValueChange %Portfolio %
23.47%
Shigeru Kondo
1,855,400¥1.3b-22.54%no data
5.6%
Koichiro Matsuo
442,800¥310.4m0%no data
4.95%
Akira Morigaki
391,000¥274.1m0%no data
4.46%
Toko Co., Ltd.
352,600¥247.2m0%no data
3.54%
Jun Kondo
280,000¥196.3m0%no data
3.29%
Masatake Kondo
260,000¥182.3m0%no data
2.73%
SV Frontier LLC
215,820¥151.3m0%no data
2.55%
Rakuten Investment Management, Inc.
201,300¥141.1m0%0.03%
2.52%
SBI Investment Co., Ltd.
198,900¥139.4m0%1.02%
2.38%
TIS Inc.
188,300¥132.0m0%no data
1.2%
PineBridge Investments LLC
94,500¥66.2m0%no data
0.56%
Nikko Asset Management Co., Ltd.
43,900¥30.8m0%no data
0.51%
Rheos Capital Works, Inc.
40,000¥28.0m0%no data
0.46%
Meiji Yasuda Life Insurance Company, Asset Management Arm
36,000¥25.2m0%no data
0.37%
Daiwa Asset Management Co. Ltd.
29,100¥20.4m0%no data
0.25%
Angel Japan Asset Management Ltd.
20,000¥14.0m0%0.03%
0.25%
Asset Management One Co., Ltd.
19,500¥13.7m16.07%no data
0.2%
Chibagin Asset Management Co. Ltd.
15,700¥11.0m0%0.01%
0.077%
Siemens Fonds Invest GmbH
6,100¥4.3m0%no data
0.011%
Fivestar Asset Management Co., Ltd.
900¥630.9k0%no data

Company Information

Kokopelli Inc.'s employee growth, exchange listings and data sources


Key Information

  • Name: Kokopelli Inc.
  • Ticker: 4167
  • Exchange: TSE
  • Founded: 2007
  • Industry: Application Software
  • Sector: Software
  • Implied Market Cap: JP¥5.542b
  • Shares outstanding: 7.91m
  • Website: https://www.kokopelli-inc.com

Number of Employees


Location

  • Kokopelli Inc.
  • Kioicho Building
  • 11th Floor
  • Tokyo
  • 102-0094
  • Japan


Listings

TickerExchangePrimary SecuritySecurity TypeCountryCurrencyListed on
4167TSE (The Tokyo Stock Exchange)YesShare CapitalJPJPYDec 2020

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

All financial data provided by Standard & Poor's Capital IQ.
DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2022/09/26 00:00
End of Day Share Price2022/09/26 00:00
Earnings2022/06/30
Annual Earnings2022/03/31


Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.