Toyokumo Valuation

Is 4058 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 4058 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 4058 (¥1958) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥1975.24)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 4058 is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4058?

Key metric: As 4058 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 4058. This is calculated by dividing 4058's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 4058's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio28.4x
EarningsJP¥754.00m
Market CapJP¥21.74b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 4058's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 4058 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average40.3x
5574 ABEJA
89xn/aJP¥19.6b
4435 kaonavi
24.3x15.0%JP¥20.7b
4054 Japan PropTechLtd
30.1x16.5%JP¥16.8b
3741 Systems Engineering ConsultantsLTD
17.8xn/aJP¥21.4b
4058 Toyokumo
28.4x19.9%JP¥21.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 4058 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.4x) compared to the peer average (40.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 4058's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Software Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
4058 28.4xIndustry Avg. 23.5xNo. of Companies21PE01632486480+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 4058 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.4x) compared to the JP Software industry average (23.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 4058's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

4058 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio28.4x
Fair PE Ratio20.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 4058 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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