HeadwatersLtd Valuation

Is 4011 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 4011 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 4011 (¥8750) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥9304.42)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 4011 is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4011?

Key metric: As 4011 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 4011. This is calculated by dividing 4011's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 4011's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	118.6x
Earnings	JP¥140.00m
Market Cap	JP¥16.61b

4011 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	6.2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	72.2x
PEG Ratio	n/a

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 4011's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 4011 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	21.4x
4434 ServerworksLtd	23.7x	22.6%	JP¥18.1b
4498 Cybertrust Japan	28.1x	n/a	JP¥18.1b
3837 Ad-Sol Nissin	17.6x	n/a	JP¥19.3b
4396 System Support	16.3x	16.4%	JP¥19.4b
4011 HeadwatersLtd	118.6x	n/a	JP¥16.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 4011 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (118.6x) compared to the peer average (21.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 4011's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP IT Industry?

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies available in this PE range

0 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 4011 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (118.6x) compared to the JP IT industry average (17.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 4011's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

4011 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	118.6x
Fair PE Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate 4011's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.

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