Stock Analysis

Keyware Solutions Inc. (TSE:3799) Looks Inexpensive After Falling 27% But Perhaps Not Attractive Enough

TSE:3799
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Keyware Solutions Inc. (TSE:3799) shares have had a horrible month, losing 27% after a relatively good period beforehand. Longer-term shareholders would now have taken a real hit with the stock declining 5.3% in the last year.

Since its price has dipped substantially, given about half the companies in Japan have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 14x, you may consider Keyware Solutions as an attractive investment with its 6.9x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

Recent times have been quite advantageous for Keyware Solutions as its earnings have been rising very briskly. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for Keyware Solutions

pe-multiple-vs-industry
TSE:3799 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry August 5th 2024
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Keyware Solutions' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Keyware Solutions' Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as Keyware Solutions' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 51% last year. Despite this strong recent growth, it's still struggling to catch up as its three-year EPS frustratingly shrank by 6.2% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Weighing that medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 9.8% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this information, we are not surprised that Keyware Solutions is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/E has reached a floor yet with earnings going in reverse. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent earnings trends are already weighing down the shares.

The Bottom Line On Keyware Solutions' P/E

Keyware Solutions' recently weak share price has pulled its P/E below most other companies. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that Keyware Solutions maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its sliding earnings over the medium-term, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Keyware Solutions you should know about.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Keyware Solutions might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.