TIS Valuation

Is 3626 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 3626 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 3626 (¥3376) is trading above our estimate of fair value (¥2951.92)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 3626 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 3626?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

3626 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA9.1x
PEG Ratio-7.7x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 3626's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 3626 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average23.4x
9719 SCSK
22.4x8.0%JP¥898.3b
4739 ITOCHU Techno-Solutions
26.9x10.8%JP¥997.1b
4768 Otsuka
23.4x6.5%JP¥1.2t
2327 NS Solutions
21.1x7.0%JP¥471.2b
14.2x-1.8%JP¥789.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 3626 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.2x) compared to the peer average (22.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 3626's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP IT Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a10.3%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a10.3%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 3626 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.2x) compared to the JP IT industry average (18.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 3626's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

3626 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio14.2x
Fair PE Ratio21.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 3626 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 3626 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥3,376.00
JP¥3,587.00
+6.3%
13.8%JP¥4,400.00JP¥2,800.00n/a10
Apr ’25JP¥3,271.00
JP¥3,587.00
+9.7%
13.8%JP¥4,400.00JP¥2,800.00n/a10
Mar ’25JP¥3,398.00
JP¥3,572.00
+5.1%
13.9%JP¥4,400.00JP¥2,800.00n/a10
Feb ’25JP¥3,284.00
JP¥3,514.00
+7.0%
13.8%JP¥4,350.00JP¥2,800.00n/a10
Jan ’25JP¥3,107.00
JP¥3,460.00
+11.4%
14.0%JP¥4,350.00JP¥2,800.00n/a9
Dec ’24JP¥3,112.00
JP¥3,540.56
+13.8%
14.1%JP¥4,350.00JP¥2,800.00n/a9
Nov ’24JP¥3,294.00
JP¥3,735.50
+13.4%
13.6%JP¥4,700.00JP¥2,900.00n/a10
Oct ’24JP¥3,293.00
JP¥3,755.50
+14.0%
13.4%JP¥4,700.00JP¥2,900.00n/a10
Sep ’24JP¥3,460.00
JP¥3,786.82
+9.4%
12.8%JP¥4,700.00JP¥2,900.00n/a11
Aug ’24JP¥3,672.00
JP¥3,994.55
+8.8%
8.1%JP¥4,700.00JP¥3,500.00n/a11
Jul ’24JP¥3,591.00
JP¥3,990.91
+11.1%
8.8%JP¥4,700.00JP¥3,500.00n/a11
Jun ’24JP¥3,835.00
JP¥4,016.67
+4.7%
8.1%JP¥4,600.00JP¥3,500.00n/a12
May ’24JP¥3,785.00
JP¥3,975.00
+5.0%
9.9%JP¥4,600.00JP¥3,200.00JP¥3,376.0012
Apr ’24JP¥3,490.00
JP¥3,975.00
+13.9%
9.9%JP¥4,600.00JP¥3,200.00JP¥3,271.0012
Mar ’24JP¥3,380.00
JP¥4,033.33
+19.3%
9.8%JP¥4,600.00JP¥3,200.00JP¥3,398.0012
Feb ’24JP¥3,730.00
JP¥4,142.50
+11.1%
10.3%JP¥4,900.00JP¥3,200.00JP¥3,284.0012
Jan ’24JP¥3,480.00
JP¥4,150.83
+19.3%
10.5%JP¥4,900.00JP¥3,200.00JP¥3,107.0012
Dec ’23JP¥3,855.00
JP¥4,188.18
+8.6%
10.7%JP¥4,900.00JP¥3,200.00JP¥3,112.0011
Nov ’23JP¥3,950.00
JP¥4,042.50
+2.3%
11.1%JP¥4,700.00JP¥3,200.00JP¥3,294.0012
Oct ’23JP¥3,835.00
JP¥4,026.67
+5.0%
11.6%JP¥4,700.00JP¥3,200.00JP¥3,293.0012
Sep ’23JP¥4,010.00
JP¥3,931.67
-2.0%
11.9%JP¥4,700.00JP¥3,200.00JP¥3,460.0012
Aug ’23JP¥3,830.00
JP¥3,780.91
-1.3%
8.7%JP¥4,400.00JP¥3,200.00JP¥3,672.0011
Jul ’23JP¥3,480.00
JP¥3,790.00
+8.9%
8.8%JP¥4,400.00JP¥3,200.00JP¥3,591.0011
Jun ’23JP¥3,400.00
JP¥3,697.27
+8.7%
8.7%JP¥4,200.00JP¥3,200.00JP¥3,835.0011
May ’23JP¥2,933.00
JP¥3,617.00
+23.3%
11.4%JP¥4,200.00JP¥2,800.00JP¥3,785.0010

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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