Geolocation Technology Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of 4018 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

4018 (¥947) is trading above our estimate of [[fair value]] (¥791.22)

Is 4018 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 4018 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 4018 (¥947) is trading above our estimate of fair value (¥791.22)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 4018 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4018?

Key metric: As 4018 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 4018. This is calculated by dividing 4018's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 4018's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	43.1x
Earnings	JP¥33.00m
Market Cap	JP¥1.42b

4018 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	1.1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	10.2x
PEG Ratio	n/a

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 4018's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 4018 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	19.2x
4016 MIT Holdings	10.8x	n/a	JP¥1.4b
3814 Alphax Food System	21.3x	n/a	JP¥1.4b
5249 Asakawa Systems	31.3x	n/a	JP¥1.3b
5252 Nihon Knowledge CoLtd	13.3x	n/a	JP¥1.5b
4018 Geolocation Technology	43.1x	n/a	JP¥1.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 4018 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (43.1x) compared to the peer average (19.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 4018's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP IT Industry?

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies available in this PE range

0 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 4018 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (43.1x) compared to the JP IT industry average (18x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 4018's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

4018 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	43.1x
Fair PE Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate 4018's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.

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