QD Laser Valuation

Is 6613 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 6613 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 6613 (¥328) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥573.41)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 6613 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 6613?

Key metric: As 6613 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 6613. This is calculated by dividing 6613's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 6613's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio11.7x
SalesJP¥1.17b
Market CapJP¥13.70b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 6613's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 6613 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.2x
4238 Miraial
1xn/aJP¥13.0b
6616 Torex Semiconductor
0.6xn/aJP¥14.5b
6769 THine Electronics
2.4xn/aJP¥10.9b
6730 AXELL
0.9xn/aJP¥14.2b
6613 QD Laser
11.7x24.2%JP¥13.7b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 6613 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (11.7x) compared to the peer average (1.2x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 6613's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Semiconductor Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
6844 Shindengen Electric ManufacturingLtd
0.2x4.2%US$166.63m
3856 Abalance
0.07xn/aUS$90.55m
3374 Naigai Tec
0.2xn/aUS$50.23m
No more companies available in this PS range
6613 11.7xIndustry Avg. 1.4xNo. of Companies8PS012345+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 6613 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (11.7x) compared to the JP Semiconductor industry average (1.4x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 6613's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

6613 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio11.7x
Fair PS Ratio1.4x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 6613 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (11.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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