Stock Analysis

We're Hopeful That THine Electronics (TYO:6769) Will Use Its Cash Wisely

TSE:6769
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There's no doubt that money can be made by owning shares of unprofitable businesses. For example, although software-as-a-service business Salesforce.com lost money for years while it grew recurring revenue, if you held shares since 2005, you'd have done very well indeed. But while the successes are well known, investors should not ignore the very many unprofitable companies that simply burn through all their cash and collapse.

So, the natural question for THine Electronics (TYO:6769) shareholders is whether they should be concerned by its rate of cash burn. For the purposes of this article, cash burn is the annual rate at which an unprofitable company spends cash to fund its growth; its negative free cash flow. Let's start with an examination of the business' cash, relative to its cash burn.

View our latest analysis for THine Electronics

When Might THine Electronics Run Out Of Money?

A company's cash runway is calculated by dividing its cash hoard by its cash burn. As at March 2021, THine Electronics had cash of JP¥6.8b and no debt. Importantly, its cash burn was JP¥563m over the trailing twelve months. That means it had a cash runway of very many years as of March 2021. Even though this is but one measure of the company's cash burn, the thought of such a long cash runway warms our bellies in a comforting way. Depicted below, you can see how its cash holdings have changed over time.

debt-equity-history-analysis
JASDAQ:6769 Debt to Equity History May 10th 2021

Is THine Electronics' Revenue Growing?

We're hesitant to extrapolate on the recent trend to assess its cash burn, because THine Electronics actually had positive free cash flow last year, so operating revenue growth is probably our best bet to measure, right now. Unfortunately, the last year has been a disappointment, with operating revenue dropping 30% during the period. Clearly, however, the crucial factor is whether the company will grow its business going forward. For that reason, it makes a lot of sense to take a look at our analyst forecasts for the company.

How Hard Would It Be For THine Electronics To Raise More Cash For Growth?

Given its problematic fall in revenue, THine Electronics shareholders should consider how the company could fund its growth, if it turns out it needs more cash. Companies can raise capital through either debt or equity. Many companies end up issuing new shares to fund future growth. We can compare a company's cash burn to its market capitalisation to get a sense for how many new shares a company would have to issue to fund one year's operations.

THine Electronics' cash burn of JP¥563m is about 5.7% of its JP¥9.8b market capitalisation. Given that is a rather small percentage, it would probably be really easy for the company to fund another year's growth by issuing some new shares to investors, or even by taking out a loan.

So, Should We Worry About THine Electronics' Cash Burn?

As you can probably tell by now, we're not too worried about THine Electronics' cash burn. For example, we think its cash runway suggests that the company is on a good path. Although its falling revenue does give us reason for pause, the other metrics we discussed in this article form a positive picture overall. After taking into account the various metrics mentioned in this report, we're pretty comfortable with how the company is spending its cash, as it seems on track to meet its needs over the medium term. Readers need to have a sound understanding of business risks before investing in a stock, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for THine Electronics that potential shareholders should take into account before putting money into a stock.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies, and this list of stocks growth stocks (according to analyst forecasts)

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