Sac's Bar Holdings Inc. (TSE:9990) will pay a dividend of ¥30.00 on the 27th of June. The dividend yield will be 3.3% based on this payment which is still above the industry average.
View our latest analysis for Sac's Bar Holdings
Sac's Bar Holdings' Future Dividend Projections Appear Well Covered By Earnings
We like to see robust dividend yields, but that doesn't matter if the payment isn't sustainable. However, Sac's Bar Holdings' earnings easily cover the dividend. This means that most of its earnings are being retained to grow the business.
Looking forward, earnings per share could rise by 2.6% over the next year if the trend from the last few years continues. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 33%, which is in the range that makes us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend.
Dividend Volatility
The company's dividend history has been marked by instability, with at least one cut in the last 10 years. The dividend has gone from an annual total of ¥18.67 in 2014 to the most recent total annual payment of ¥30.00. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 4.9% over that duration. It's encouraging to see some dividend growth, but the dividend has been cut at least once, and the size of the cut would eliminate most of the growth anyway, which makes this less attractive as an income investment.
Dividend Growth May Be Hard To Achieve
With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to see if earnings per share is growing. However, Sac's Bar Holdings has only grown its earnings per share at 2.6% per annum over the past five years. While EPS growth is quite low, Sac's Bar Holdings has the option to increase the payout ratio to return more cash to shareholders.
In Summary
Overall, a consistent dividend is a good thing, and we think that Sac's Bar Holdings has the ability to continue this into the future. While the payout ratios are a good sign, we are less enthusiastic about the company's dividend record. Taking all of this into consideration, the dividend looks viable moving forward, but investors should be mindful that the company has pushed the boundaries of sustainability in the past and may do so again.
Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. Taking the debate a bit further, we've identified 1 warning sign for Sac's Bar Holdings that investors need to be conscious of moving forward. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:9990
Sac's Bar Holdings
Engages in the retail sale of bags, fashion goods, and related accessories in Japan.
Flawless balance sheet, good value and pays a dividend.