Lilycolor Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of 9827 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

9827 (¥650) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] (¥659.6)

Is 9827 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Sales vs Peers
Price-To-Sales vs Industry
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 9827 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 9827 (¥650) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥659.6)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 9827 is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 9827?

Key metric: As 9827 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 9827. This is calculated by dividing 9827's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 9827's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio	0.2x
Sales	JP¥33.68b
Market Cap	JP¥7.99b

9827 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	0.3x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	41.4x
PEG Ratio	n/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 9827's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 9827 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PS	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	0.3x
7590 TakashoLtd	0.4x	9.4%	JP¥8.0b
8119 Sanyei	0.2x	n/a	JP¥8.5b
7551 Weds	0.3x	n/a	JP¥9.6b
7442 NakayamafukuLtd	0.2x	n/a	JP¥7.1b
9827 Lilycolor	0.2x	n/a	JP¥8.0b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 9827 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the peer average (0.3x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 9827's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Retail Distributors Industry?

3 Companies	Price / Sales	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
7130 Yamae Group HoldingsLtd	0.07x	n/a	US$385.51m
9852 CB GROUP MANAGEMENT	0.07x	n/a	US$69.80m
8256 Marumitsu	0.01x	n/a	US$318.84k

No more companies available in this PS range

3 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 9827 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the JP Retail Distributors industry average (0.2x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 9827's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

9827 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio	0.2x
Fair PS Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate 9827's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.

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