Nishimatsuya Chain Co., Ltd.

TSE:7545 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥133.9b

Nishimatsuya Chain Valuation

Is 7545 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 7545 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 7545 (¥2202) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥3018.04)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 7545 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 7545?

Key metric: As 7545 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 7545. This is calculated by dividing 7545's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 7545's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio16.2x
EarningsJP¥8.19b
Market CapJP¥133.89b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 7545's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 7545 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average12x
8219 Aoyama Trading
11.6x-2.2%JP¥100.6b
8214 AOKI Holdings
12.6xn/aJP¥101.3b
2685 Adastria
11.8x4.9%JP¥165.3b
7606 United Arrows
12.1x6.9%JP¥65.6b
7545 Nishimatsuya Chain
16.2x7.8%JP¥133.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 7545 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.2x) compared to the peer average (12x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 7545's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Specialty Retail Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
7545 16.2xIndustry Avg. 13.4xNo. of Companies17PE0816243240+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 7545 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.2x) compared to the JP Specialty Retail industry average (13.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 7545's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

7545 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio16.2x
Fair PE Ratio14x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 7545 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 7545 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥2,201.00
JP¥2,550.00
+15.9%
5.9%JP¥2,700.00JP¥2,400.00n/a2
Nov ’25JP¥2,222.00
JP¥2,400.00
+8.0%
12.5%JP¥2,700.00JP¥2,100.00n/a2
Oct ’25JP¥2,480.00
JP¥2,300.00
-7.3%
8.7%JP¥2,500.00JP¥2,100.00n/a2
Sep ’25JP¥2,524.00
JP¥2,300.00
-8.9%
8.7%JP¥2,500.00JP¥2,100.00n/a2
Aug ’25JP¥2,243.00
JP¥2,250.00
+0.3%
11.1%JP¥2,500.00JP¥2,000.00n/a2
Jul ’25JP¥2,113.00
JP¥2,250.00
+6.5%
11.1%JP¥2,500.00JP¥2,000.00n/a2
Jun ’25JP¥2,298.00
JP¥2,250.00
-2.1%
11.1%JP¥2,500.00JP¥2,000.00n/a2
May ’25JP¥2,189.00
JP¥2,125.00
-2.9%
17.6%JP¥2,500.00JP¥1,750.00n/a2
Apr ’25JP¥2,474.00
JP¥2,125.00
-14.1%
17.6%JP¥2,500.00JP¥1,750.00n/a2
Mar ’25JP¥2,223.00
JP¥2,125.00
-4.4%
17.6%JP¥2,500.00JP¥1,750.00n/a2
Dec ’24JP¥2,162.00
JP¥2,025.00
-6.3%
13.6%JP¥2,300.00JP¥1,750.00n/a2
Nov ’24JP¥1,933.00
JP¥2,025.00
+4.8%
13.6%JP¥2,300.00JP¥1,750.00JP¥2,222.002
Oct ’24JP¥1,628.00
JP¥1,925.00
+18.2%
19.5%JP¥2,300.00JP¥1,550.00JP¥2,480.002
Sep ’24JP¥1,696.00
JP¥1,925.00
+13.5%
19.5%JP¥2,300.00JP¥1,550.00JP¥2,524.002
Aug ’24JP¥1,720.00
JP¥1,925.00
+11.9%
19.5%JP¥2,300.00JP¥1,550.00JP¥2,243.002
Jul ’24JP¥1,703.00
JP¥1,925.00
+13.0%
19.5%JP¥2,300.00JP¥1,550.00JP¥2,113.002
Jun ’24JP¥1,640.00
JP¥1,925.00
+17.4%
19.5%JP¥2,300.00JP¥1,550.00JP¥2,298.002
May ’24JP¥1,615.00
JP¥1,925.00
+19.2%
19.5%JP¥2,300.00JP¥1,550.00JP¥2,189.002
Apr ’24JP¥1,634.00
JP¥1,750.00
+7.1%
20.0%JP¥2,100.00JP¥1,400.00JP¥2,474.002
Mar ’24JP¥1,567.00
JP¥1,750.00
+11.7%
20.0%JP¥2,100.00JP¥1,400.00JP¥2,223.002
Feb ’24JP¥1,544.00
JP¥1,750.00
+13.3%
20.0%JP¥2,100.00JP¥1,400.00JP¥2,144.002
Jan ’24JP¥1,550.00
JP¥1,750.00
+12.9%
20.0%JP¥2,100.00JP¥1,400.00JP¥2,071.002
Dec ’23JP¥1,382.00
JP¥1,750.00
+26.6%
20.0%JP¥2,100.00JP¥1,400.00JP¥2,162.002

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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