Hulic Reit Valuation

Is 3295 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 3295 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 3295 (¥133200) is trading above our estimate of fair value (¥103449.47)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 3295 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 3295?

Key metric: As 3295 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 3295. This is calculated by dividing 3295's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 3295's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio18.4x
EarningsJP¥10.42b
Market CapJP¥190.66b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 3295's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 3295 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average16.9x
8956 NTT UD REIT Investment
18.1xn/aJP¥166.6b
8957 Tokyu REIT
17xn/aJP¥154.6b
3279 Activia Properties
16.4xn/aJP¥261.4b
3296 NIPPON REIT Investment
16.1x-4.6%JP¥140.7b
3295 Hulic Reit
18.4x-2.3%JP¥190.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 3295 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.4x) compared to the peer average (16.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 3295's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP REITs Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
3295 18.4xIndustry Avg. 18.1xNo. of Companies7PE0816243240+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 3295 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.4x) compared to the JP REITs industry average (18.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 3295's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

3295 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio18.4x
Fair PE Ratio20.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 3295 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 3295 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥133,200.00
JP¥154,400.00
+15.9%
5.0%JP¥165,000.00JP¥143,000.00n/a5
Nov ’25JP¥131,700.00
JP¥155,800.00
+18.3%
3.3%JP¥165,000.00JP¥149,000.00n/a5
Oct ’25JP¥137,600.00
JP¥159,000.00
+15.6%
2.9%JP¥165,000.00JP¥154,000.00n/a4
Sep ’25JP¥141,200.00
JP¥159,000.00
+12.6%
2.9%JP¥165,000.00JP¥154,000.00n/a4
Aug ’25JP¥142,100.00
JP¥159,000.00
+11.9%
2.9%JP¥165,000.00JP¥154,000.00n/a4
Jul ’25JP¥143,600.00
JP¥161,000.00
+12.1%
4.7%JP¥173,000.00JP¥154,000.00n/a4
Jun ’25JP¥144,400.00
JP¥164,750.00
+14.1%
4.5%JP¥173,000.00JP¥154,000.00n/a4
May ’25JP¥151,000.00
JP¥164,600.00
+9.0%
4.7%JP¥173,000.00JP¥151,000.00n/a5
Apr ’25JP¥150,800.00
JP¥166,000.00
+10.1%
5.7%JP¥180,000.00JP¥151,000.00n/a5
Mar ’25JP¥145,200.00
JP¥168,750.00
+16.2%
4.7%JP¥180,000.00JP¥158,000.00n/a4
Feb ’25JP¥153,700.00
JP¥168,750.00
+9.8%
4.7%JP¥180,000.00JP¥158,000.00n/a4
Jan ’25JP¥149,200.00
JP¥166,250.00
+11.4%
3.0%JP¥170,000.00JP¥158,000.00n/a4
Dec ’24JP¥150,800.00
JP¥163,200.00
+8.2%
4.6%JP¥170,000.00JP¥151,000.00n/a5
Nov ’24JP¥154,800.00
JP¥164,666.67
+6.4%
3.8%JP¥170,000.00JP¥155,000.00JP¥131,700.006
Oct ’24JP¥159,400.00
JP¥164,000.00
+2.9%
3.8%JP¥170,000.00JP¥155,000.00JP¥137,600.006
Sep ’24JP¥164,200.00
JP¥164,000.00
-0.1%
3.8%JP¥170,000.00JP¥155,000.00JP¥141,200.006
Aug ’24JP¥164,500.00
JP¥164,000.00
-0.3%
3.8%JP¥170,000.00JP¥155,000.00JP¥142,100.006
Jul ’24JP¥161,000.00
JP¥164,833.33
+2.4%
4.4%JP¥175,000.00JP¥155,000.00JP¥143,600.006
Jun ’24JP¥159,900.00
JP¥177,000.00
+10.7%
9.3%JP¥208,000.00JP¥157,000.00JP¥144,400.006
May ’24JP¥156,400.00
JP¥177,000.00
+13.2%
9.3%JP¥208,000.00JP¥157,000.00JP¥151,000.006
Apr ’24JP¥149,600.00
JP¥181,166.67
+21.1%
7.0%JP¥208,000.00JP¥170,000.00JP¥150,800.006
Mar ’24JP¥149,300.00
JP¥181,166.67
+21.3%
7.0%JP¥208,000.00JP¥170,000.00JP¥145,200.006
Feb ’24JP¥155,100.00
JP¥181,166.67
+16.8%
7.0%JP¥208,000.00JP¥170,000.00JP¥153,700.006
Jan ’24JP¥163,900.00
JP¥180,666.67
+10.2%
7.3%JP¥208,000.00JP¥167,000.00JP¥149,200.006
Dec ’23JP¥170,700.00
JP¥180,666.67
+5.8%
7.3%JP¥208,000.00JP¥167,000.00JP¥150,800.006
Nov ’23JP¥176,000.00
JP¥177,333.33
+0.8%
8.1%JP¥208,000.00JP¥164,000.00JP¥154,800.006

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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