Stock Analysis

Don't Race Out To Buy Heiwa Real Estate Co., Ltd. (TSE:8803) Just Because It's Going Ex-Dividend

TSE:8803
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Some investors rely on dividends for growing their wealth, and if you're one of those dividend sleuths, you might be intrigued to know that Heiwa Real Estate Co., Ltd. (TSE:8803) is about to go ex-dividend in just 3 days. The ex-dividend date is one business day before a company's record date, which is the date on which the company determines which shareholders are entitled to receive a dividend. It is important to be aware of the ex-dividend date because any trade on the stock needs to have been settled on or before the record date. Accordingly, Heiwa Real Estate investors that purchase the stock on or after the 27th of September will not receive the dividend, which will be paid on the 2nd of December.

The company's next dividend payment will be JP„63.00 per share, and in the last 12 months, the company paid a total of JP„120 per share. Looking at the last 12 months of distributions, Heiwa Real Estate has a trailing yield of approximately 3.1% on its current stock price of JP„4060.00. Dividends are a major contributor to investment returns for long term holders, but only if the dividend continues to be paid. We need to see whether the dividend is covered by earnings and if it's growing.

View our latest analysis for Heiwa Real Estate

Dividends are usually paid out of company profits, so if a company pays out more than it earned then its dividend is usually at greater risk of being cut. Heiwa Real Estate is paying out an acceptable 74% of its profit, a common payout level among most companies. A useful secondary check can be to evaluate whether Heiwa Real Estate generated enough free cash flow to afford its dividend. It paid out an unsustainably high 304% of its free cash flow as dividends over the past 12 months, which is worrying. Our definition of free cash flow excludes cash generated from asset sales, so since Heiwa Real Estate is paying out such a high percentage of its cash flow, it might be worth seeing if it sold assets or had similar events that might have led to such a high dividend payment.

While Heiwa Real Estate's dividends were covered by the company's reported profits, cash is somewhat more important, so it's not great to see that the company didn't generate enough cash to pay its dividend. Cash is king, as they say, and were Heiwa Real Estate to repeatedly pay dividends that aren't well covered by cashflow, we would consider this a warning sign.

Click here to see the company's payout ratio, plus analyst estimates of its future dividends.

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TSE:8803 Historic Dividend September 23rd 2024

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

Companies that aren't growing their earnings can still be valuable, but it is even more important to assess the sustainability of the dividend if it looks like the company will struggle to grow. If earnings decline and the company is forced to cut its dividend, investors could watch the value of their investment go up in smoke. That explains why we're not overly excited about Heiwa Real Estate's flat earnings over the past five years. We'd take that over an earnings decline any day, but in the long run, the best dividend stocks all grow their earnings per share. Earnings have been growing somewhat, but we're concerned dividend payments consumed most of the company's cash flow over the past year.

Another key way to measure a company's dividend prospects is by measuring its historical rate of dividend growth. In the past 10 years, Heiwa Real Estate has increased its dividend at approximately 19% a year on average.

The Bottom Line

From a dividend perspective, should investors buy or avoid Heiwa Real Estate? Heiwa Real Estate is paying out a reasonable percentage of its income yet an uncomfortably high 304% of its cash flow as dividends. What's more, earnings have barely grown. It's not an attractive combination from a dividend perspective, and we're inclined to pass on this one for the time being.

With that in mind though, if the poor dividend characteristics of Heiwa Real Estate don't faze you, it's worth being mindful of the risks involved with this business. Our analysis shows 3 warning signs for Heiwa Real Estate that we strongly recommend you have a look at before investing in the company.

A common investing mistake is buying the first interesting stock you see. Here you can find a full list of high-yield dividend stocks.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Heiwa Real Estate might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.