Stella Pharma Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of 4888 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

4888 (¥494) is trading above our estimate of [[fair value]] (¥240.89)

Is 4888 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Book vs Peers
Price-To-Book vs Industry
Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 4888 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 4888 (¥494) is trading above our estimate of fair value (¥240.89)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 4888 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4888?

Key metric: As 4888 barely has revenue we use its Price-To-Book Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Book ratio for 4888. This is calculated by dividing 4888's market cap by their current book value.
What is 4888's PB Ratio?
PB Ratio	5.5x
Book	JP¥3.08b
Market Cap	JP¥16.81b

4888 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	48.8x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	-20.1x
PEG Ratio	n/a

Price to Book Ratio vs Peers

How does 4888's PB Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PB ratio for 4888 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PB	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	2.8x
4890 Tsubota Laboratory	8x	n/a	JP¥11.3b
8095 Astena Holdings	0.7x	n/a	JP¥19.8b
4554 Fuji Pharma	0.8x	-4.4%	JP¥35.4b
4579 RaQualia Pharma	1.8x	37.7%	JP¥10.0b
4888 Stella Pharma	5.5x	n/a	JP¥16.8b

Price-To-Book vs Peers: 4888 is expensive based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (5.5x) compared to the peer average (2.8x).

Price to Book Ratio vs Industry

How does 4888's PB Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Pharmaceuticals Industry?

0 Companies	Price / Book	Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies available in this PB range

0 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Book vs Industry: 4888 is expensive based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (5.5x) compared to the JP Pharmaceuticals industry average (1.3x).

Price to Book Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 4888's PB Ratio compared to its Fair PB Ratio? This is the expected PB Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

4888 PB Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PB Ratio	5.5x
Fair PB Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate 4888's Price-To-Book Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.

Discover undervalued companies

Shionogi

JP¥1.8t

Engages in the research, development, manufacture, and distribution of pharmaceuticals, diagnostic reagents, and medical devices in Japan.

4507

JP¥2,094.50

-2.1%

-10.9%

Tsumura

JP¥368.9b

Manufactures and sells pharmaceutical products from crude drugs derived from plants and other natural products in Japan and internationally.

4540

JP¥4,858.00

1.2%

76.3%

Daito PharmaceuticalLtd

JP¥32.8b

Manufactures and sells pharmaceutical products worldwide.

4577

JP¥2,147.00

1.8%

8.8%