Tsumura & Co. (TSE:4540) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend from last year's comparable payment on the 5th of December to ¥68.00. This will take the annual payment to 3.5% of the stock price, which is above what most companies in the industry pay.
See our latest analysis for Tsumura
Tsumura's Payment Has Solid Earnings Coverage
We like to see robust dividend yields, but that doesn't matter if the payment isn't sustainable. Based on the last payment, Tsumura was earning enough to cover the dividend, but free cash flows weren't positive. We think that cash flows should take priority over earnings, so this is definitely a worry for the dividend going forward.
Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to rise by 7.7% over the next year. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could be 36% by next year, which is in a pretty sustainable range.
Tsumura Has A Solid Track Record
The company has a sustained record of paying dividends with very little fluctuation. The annual payment during the last 10 years was ¥64.00 in 2014, and the most recent fiscal year payment was ¥136.00. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 7.8% per annum over that time. Dividends have grown at a reasonable rate over this period, and without any major cuts in the payment over time, we think this is an attractive combination as it provides a nice boost to shareholder returns.
We Could See Tsumura's Dividend Growing
Investors could be attracted to the stock based on the quality of its payment history. We are encouraged to see that Tsumura has grown earnings per share at 9.6% per year over the past five years. Tsumura definitely has the potential to grow its dividend in the future with earnings on an uptrend and a low payout ratio.
In Summary
Overall, we always like to see the dividend being raised, but we don't think Tsumura will make a great income stock. With cash flows lacking, it is difficult to see how the company can sustain a dividend payment. Overall, we don't think this company has the makings of a good income stock.
It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. For example, we've picked out 1 warning sign for Tsumura that investors should know about before committing capital to this stock. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:4540
Tsumura
Manufactures and sells pharmaceutical products from crude drugs derived from plants and other natural products in Japan and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet, undervalued and pays a dividend.