Stock Analysis

Hisamitsu Pharmaceutical Co., Inc.'s (TSE:4530) Dismal Stock Performance Reflects Weak Fundamentals

TSE:4530
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It is hard to get excited after looking at Hisamitsu Pharmaceutical's (TSE:4530) recent performance, when its stock has declined 6.0% over the past three months. Given that stock prices are usually driven by a company’s fundamentals over the long term, which in this case look pretty weak, we decided to study the company's key financial indicators. In this article, we decided to focus on Hisamitsu Pharmaceutical's ROE.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors’ money. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

View our latest analysis for Hisamitsu Pharmaceutical

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for ROE is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Hisamitsu Pharmaceutical is:

5.4% = JP¥14b ÷ JP¥267b (Based on the trailing twelve months to February 2024).

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. So, this means that for every ¥1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of ¥0.05.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

A Side By Side comparison of Hisamitsu Pharmaceutical's Earnings Growth And 5.4% ROE

When you first look at it, Hisamitsu Pharmaceutical's ROE doesn't look that attractive. Yet, a closer study shows that the company's ROE is similar to the industry average of 6.1%. But Hisamitsu Pharmaceutical saw a five year net income decline of 9.2% over the past five years. Remember, the company's ROE is a bit low to begin with. So that's what might be causing earnings growth to shrink.

However, when we compared Hisamitsu Pharmaceutical's growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 5.6% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

past-earnings-growth
TSE:4530 Past Earnings Growth May 26th 2024

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. If you're wondering about Hisamitsu Pharmaceutical's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

Is Hisamitsu Pharmaceutical Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

Hisamitsu Pharmaceutical's declining earnings is not surprising given how the company is spending most of its profits in paying dividends, judging by its three-year median payout ratio of 59% (or a retention ratio of 41%). The business is only left with a small pool of capital to reinvest - A vicious cycle that doesn't benefit the company in the long-run.

In addition, Hisamitsu Pharmaceutical has been paying dividends over a period of at least ten years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is way more important to the management even if it comes at the cost of business growth.

Summary

In total, we would have a hard think before deciding on any investment action concerning Hisamitsu Pharmaceutical. The company has seen a lack of earnings growth as a result of retaining very little profits and whatever little it does retain, is being reinvested at a very low rate of return. With that said, we studied the latest analyst forecasts and found that while the company has shrunk its earnings in the past, analysts expect its earnings to grow in the future. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Hisamitsu Pharmaceutical is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.