Toei Company Valuation

Is 9605 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 9605 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 9605 (¥5880) is trading above our estimate of fair value (¥5812.88)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 9605 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 9605?

Key metric: As 9605 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 9605. This is calculated by dividing 9605's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 9605's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio25.2x
EarningsJP¥14.42b
Market CapJP¥364.04b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 9605's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 9605 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average26.4x
7458 Daiichikosho
12.7x-3.3%JP¥197.9b
4816 Toei AnimationLtd
35.9x6.6%JP¥745.4b
5253 COVER
36.6x27.0%JP¥168.3b
9602 Toho
20.3x2.3%JP¥1.0t
9605 Toei Company
25.2x5.9%JP¥364.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 9605 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.2x) compared to the peer average (26.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 9605's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Entertainment Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
3760 CAVE InteractiveLTD
3.7xn/aUS$41.68m
No more companies available in this PE range
9605 25.2xIndustry Avg. 27.4xNo. of Companies6PE01632486480+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 9605 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.2x) compared to the JP Entertainment industry average (27.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 9605's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

9605 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio25.2x
Fair PE Ratio21x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 9605 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 9605 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥5,880.00
JP¥5,150.00
-12.4%
20.4%JP¥6,200.00JP¥4,100.00n/a2
Nov ’25JP¥4,980.00
JP¥4,800.00
-3.6%
14.6%JP¥5,500.00JP¥4,100.00n/a2
Oct ’25JP¥4,560.00
JP¥4,800.00
+5.3%
14.6%JP¥5,500.00JP¥4,100.00n/a2
Sep ’25JP¥4,270.00
JP¥4,550.00
+6.6%
20.9%JP¥5,500.00JP¥3,600.00n/a2
Aug ’25JP¥3,905.00
JP¥4,600.00
+17.8%
21.7%JP¥5,600.00JP¥3,600.00n/a2
Jul ’25JP¥3,790.00
JP¥4,750.00
+25.3%
17.9%JP¥5,600.00JP¥3,900.00n/a2
Jun ’25JP¥3,600.00
JP¥4,750.00
+31.9%
17.9%JP¥5,600.00JP¥3,900.00n/a2
May ’25JP¥3,750.00
JP¥4,750.00
+26.7%
17.9%JP¥5,600.00JP¥3,900.00n/a2
Dec ’24JP¥3,534.00
JP¥5,250.00
+48.6%
10.9%JP¥5,820.00JP¥4,680.00n/a2
Nov ’24JP¥3,620.00
JP¥5,260.00
+45.3%
10.6%JP¥5,820.00JP¥4,700.00JP¥4,980.002
Oct ’24JP¥3,756.00
JP¥5,260.00
+40.0%
10.6%JP¥5,820.00JP¥4,700.00JP¥4,560.002
Sep ’24JP¥3,452.00
JP¥4,460.00
+29.2%
5.4%JP¥4,700.00JP¥4,220.00JP¥4,270.002
Aug ’24JP¥3,568.00
JP¥4,290.00
+20.2%
1.6%JP¥4,360.00JP¥4,220.00JP¥3,905.002
Jul ’24JP¥3,666.00
JP¥4,290.00
+17.0%
1.6%JP¥4,360.00JP¥4,220.00JP¥3,790.002
Jun ’24JP¥3,506.00
JP¥4,290.00
+22.4%
1.6%JP¥4,360.00JP¥4,220.00JP¥3,600.002
May ’24JP¥3,662.00
JP¥4,260.00
+16.3%
0.9%JP¥4,300.00JP¥4,220.00JP¥3,750.002
Apr ’24JP¥3,430.00
JP¥4,260.00
+24.2%
0.9%JP¥4,300.00JP¥4,220.00JP¥3,715.002
Mar ’24JP¥3,416.00
JP¥4,260.00
+24.7%
0.9%JP¥4,300.00JP¥4,220.00JP¥4,148.002
Feb ’24JP¥3,390.00
JP¥4,280.00
+26.3%
1.4%JP¥4,340.00JP¥4,220.00JP¥4,122.002
Jan ’24JP¥3,530.00
JP¥4,220.00
+19.5%
2.8%JP¥4,340.00JP¥4,100.00JP¥4,066.002
Dec ’23JP¥3,738.00
JP¥4,220.00
+12.9%
2.8%JP¥4,340.00JP¥4,100.00JP¥3,534.002
Nov ’23JP¥3,648.00
JP¥4,380.00
+20.1%
6.4%JP¥4,660.00JP¥4,100.00JP¥3,620.002

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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