If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for? Firstly, we'd want to identify a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and then alongside that, an ever-increasing base of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. In light of that, when we looked at MicroAd (TSE:9553) and its ROCE trend, we weren't exactly thrilled.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on MicroAd is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.065 = JP¥256m ÷ (JP¥8.6b - JP¥4.6b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2024).
So, MicroAd has an ROCE of 6.5%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Media industry average of 9.4%.
Check out our latest analysis for MicroAd
Above you can see how the current ROCE for MicroAd compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free analyst report for MicroAd .
What Does the ROCE Trend For MicroAd Tell Us?
In terms of MicroAd's historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. Over the last four years, returns on capital have decreased to 6.5% from 22% four years ago. On the other hand, the company has been employing more capital without a corresponding improvement in sales in the last year, which could suggest these investments are longer term plays. It's worth keeping an eye on the company's earnings from here on to see if these investments do end up contributing to the bottom line.
On a side note, MicroAd has done well to pay down its current liabilities to 54% of total assets. So we could link some of this to the decrease in ROCE. What's more, this can reduce some aspects of risk to the business because now the company's suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of its operations. Some would claim this reduces the business' efficiency at generating ROCE since it is now funding more of the operations with its own money. Keep in mind 54% is still pretty high, so those risks are still somewhat prevalent.
In Conclusion...
Bringing it all together, while we're somewhat encouraged by MicroAd's reinvestment in its own business, we're aware that returns are shrinking. Since the stock has declined 41% over the last year, investors may not be too optimistic on this trend improving either. All in all, the inherent trends aren't typical of multi-baggers, so if that's what you're after, we think you might have more luck elsewhere.
MicroAd does have some risks, we noticed 4 warning signs (and 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) we think you should know about.
While MicroAd may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:9553
MicroAd
Operates an advertising platform that connects advertisers and the media in Japan.
Reasonable growth potential with adequate balance sheet.
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