MTI Ltd.

TSE:9438 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥31.0b

MTI Future Growth

Future criteria checks 0/6

MTI's earnings are forecast to decline at 0.8% per annum while its annual revenue is expected to grow at 6% per year. EPS is expected to decline by 0.8% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 12% in 3 years.

Key information

-0.8%

Earnings growth rate

-0.83%

EPS growth rate

Interactive Media and Services earnings growth8.7%
Revenue growth rate6.0%
Future return on equity12.00%
Analyst coverage

Low

Last updated03 Jun 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Analysis Article May 19

We Think That There Are Issues Underlying MTI's (TSE:9438) Earnings

MTI Ltd. ( TSE:9438 ) announced strong profits, but the stock was stagnant. Our analysis suggests that shareholders...
Analysis Article Nov 18

MTI's (TSE:9438) Solid Profits Have Weak Fundamentals

MTI Ltd. ( TSE:9438 ) just reported some strong earnings, and the market reacted accordingly with a healthy uplift in...
Analysis Article Aug 30

MTI's (TSE:9438) Dividend Will Be ¥9.00

MTI Ltd.'s ( TSE:9438 ) investors are due to receive a payment of ¥9.00 per share on 23rd of December. This makes the...
Analysis Article Aug 13

MTI (TSE:9438) Has Announced A Dividend Of ¥9.00

The board of MTI Ltd. ( TSE:9438 ) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 23rd of December, with investors...
Analysis Article Jul 17

MTI (TSE:9438) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of ¥9.00

MTI Ltd. ( TSE:9438 ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of ¥9.00 per share on the 23rd of December. Based on...
Analysis Article Jun 15

MTI (TSE:9438) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of ¥9.00

MTI Ltd.'s ( TSE:9438 ) investors are due to receive a payment of ¥9.00 per share on 23rd of December. The dividend...
Analysis Article Apr 08

MTI Ltd.'s (TSE:9438) Shareholders Might Be Looking For Exit

MTI Ltd.'s ( TSE:9438 ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 17.2x might make it look like a strong sell right now...
Analysis Article Dec 30

We Think That There Are Issues Underlying MTI's (TSE:9438) Earnings

Despite posting some strong earnings, the market for MTI Ltd.'s ( TSE:9438 ) stock hasn't moved much. We did some...
Analysis Article Aug 23

MTI Ltd.'s (TSE:9438) Shares Climb 28% But Its Business Is Yet to Catch Up

MTI Ltd. ( TSE:9438 ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 28% gain in the last month alone. The last 30...
Analysis Article Aug 09

Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of MTI Ltd. (TSE:9438)

Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, MTI fair value estimate is JP¥883 MTI's JP¥999 share price...
Analysis Article Jul 24

Is MTI (TSE:9438) A Risky Investment?

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's...
Analysis Article Jun 20

Optimistic Investors Push MTI Ltd. (TSE:9438) Shares Up 27% But Growth Is Lacking

MTI Ltd. ( TSE:9438 ) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 27...
Analysis Article May 22

MTI's (TSE:9438) Shareholders May Want To Dig Deeper Than Statutory Profit

The market shrugged off MTI Ltd.'s ( TSE:9438 ) solid earnings report. Our analysis showed that there are some...
Analysis Article Feb 29

MTI Ltd.'s (TSE:9438) 27% Share Price Surge Not Quite Adding Up

MTI Ltd. ( TSE:9438 ) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 27% share price jump in the last month...

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

TSE:9438 - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (JPY Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
9/30/202835,5003,300N/A5,2251
9/30/202733,0003,000N/A4,9251
9/30/202631,2002,900N/A3,7551
3/31/202630,6913,5101,8613,378N/A
12/31/202530,4123,418N/AN/AN/A
9/30/202529,9103,4044,2975,661N/A
6/30/202529,4392,181N/AN/AN/A
3/31/202529,0372,5623,4244,864N/A
12/31/202428,3162,322N/AN/AN/A
9/30/202427,6692,3632,7424,131N/A
6/30/202427,1962,501N/AN/AN/A
3/31/202426,6842,6372,7473,900N/A
12/31/202326,3321,973N/AN/AN/A
9/30/202326,7987533,6024,764N/A
6/30/202327,263-347N/AN/AN/A
3/31/202327,135-1,379591,500N/A
12/31/202227,019-1,772N/AN/AN/A
9/30/202226,479-930-3,591-1,393N/A
6/30/202225,593-158N/AN/AN/A
3/31/202225,672375-1,713691N/A
12/31/202125,990-1,132N/AN/AN/A
9/30/202125,743-1,1641,7453,516N/A
6/30/202126,094-2,368N/AN/AN/A
3/31/202126,155-2,1562,7404,363N/A
12/31/202026,268495N/AN/AN/A
9/30/202026,0825061,6083,292N/A
6/30/202026,1771,142N/AN/AN/A
3/31/202026,1531,8948952,456N/A
12/31/201926,3681,196N/AN/AN/A
9/30/201927,1121,508N/A4,007N/A
6/30/201927,3031,880N/AN/AN/A
3/31/201927,8451,335N/A5,044N/A
12/31/201828,4201,371N/AN/AN/A
9/30/201829,0751,629N/A4,549N/A
6/30/201830,0362,185N/AN/AN/A
3/31/201830,8102,147N/A4,123N/A
12/31/201730,8131,558N/AN/AN/A
9/30/201730,9331,434N/A3,442N/A
6/30/201731,0211,840N/AN/AN/A
3/31/201731,1352,333N/A4,713N/A
12/31/201631,9343,297N/AN/AN/A
9/30/201632,8443,317N/A4,845N/A
6/30/201633,4993,284N/AN/AN/A
3/31/201633,8352,944N/A4,141N/A
12/31/201533,7992,543N/AN/AN/A
9/30/201533,4612,607N/A4,587N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: 9438's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-0.8% per year).

Earnings vs Market: 9438's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-0.8% per year).

High Growth Earnings: 9438's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: 9438's revenue (6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the JP market (6.5% per year).

High Growth Revenue: 9438's revenue (6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: 9438's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (12%).


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/07/05 05:59
End of Day Share Price 2026/07/03 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/09/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

MTI Ltd. is covered by 6 analysts. 1 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Jun HasebeDaiwa Securities Co. Ltd.
Masatoshi NagataIchiyoshi Research Institute Inc.
null nullInvestment Bridge Co., Ltd.