Marvelous Valuation

Is 7844 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 7844 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 7844 (¥580) is trading above our estimate of fair value (¥508.4)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 7844 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 7844?

Key metric: As 7844 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 7844. This is calculated by dividing 7844's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 7844's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio1.2x
SalesJP¥28.37b
Market CapJP¥35.13b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 7844's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 7844 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.8x
3932 Akatsuki
1.4x11.0%JP¥34.2b
3793 DrecomLtd
2.3x30.0%JP¥20.2b
3632 GREE
1.2x4.7%JP¥72.9b
3668 COLOPL
2.3x-0.9%JP¥60.5b
7844 Marvelous
1.2x7.5%JP¥35.1b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 7844 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.2x) compared to the peer average (1.8x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 7844's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Entertainment Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
7060 geechs
0.2x3.9%US$27.41m
2402 amana
0.1xn/aUS$11.46m
No more companies available in this PS range
7844 1.2xIndustry Avg. 1.3xNo. of Companies14PS00.81.62.43.24+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 7844 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.2x) compared to the JP Entertainment industry average (1.3x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 7844's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

7844 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1.2x
Fair PS Ratio1.1x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 7844 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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