The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Vector Inc. (TSE:6058) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
Check out our latest analysis for Vector
What Is Vector's Debt?
As you can see below, at the end of May 2024, Vector had JP¥11.5b of debt, up from JP¥10.7b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, its balance sheet shows it holds JP¥14.3b in cash, so it actually has JP¥2.83b net cash.
A Look At Vector's Liabilities
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Vector had liabilities of JP¥12.9b due within 12 months and liabilities of JP¥9.08b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had JP¥14.3b in cash and JP¥9.99b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it actually has JP¥2.37b more liquid assets than total liabilities.
This surplus suggests that Vector has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Succinctly put, Vector boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
And we also note warmly that Vector grew its EBIT by 11% last year, making its debt load easier to handle. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Vector's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. While Vector has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Looking at the most recent three years, Vector recorded free cash flow of 42% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.
Summing Up
While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Vector has JP¥2.83b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. On top of that, it increased its EBIT by 11% in the last twelve months. So is Vector's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Vector .
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About TSE:6058
Vector
Engages in the public relations (PR) and advertising, press release distribution, video release distribution, direct marketing, media, investment, and human resources businesses in Japan, China, and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet, undervalued and pays a dividend.