note Valuation

Is 5243 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 5243 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
JP¥4.87k
Fair Value
62.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
1
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: 5243 (¥1821) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥4866.49)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 5243 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 5243?

Key metric: As 5243 is barely profitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 5243. This is calculated by dividing 5243's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 5243's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio9x
SalesJP¥3.31b
Market CapJP¥25.81b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 5243's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 5243 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average2.9x
6184 Kamakura Shinsho
3.1xn/aJP¥19.3b
6194 Atrae
2x8.1%JP¥17.5b
3989 Sharingtechnology
2.6x12.4%JP¥19.7b
3922 PR TIMES
4x13.3%JP¥30.9b
5243 note
9x17.5%JP¥25.8b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 5243 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (9x) compared to the peer average (2.9x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 5243's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Interactive Media and Services Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
3491 GA technologies
0.2xn/aUS$354.36m
No more companies available in this PS range
5243 9.0xIndustry Avg. 1.6xNo. of Companies10PS01.22.43.64.86+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 5243 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (9x) compared to the JP Interactive Media and Services industry average (1.6x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 5243's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

5243 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio9x
Fair PS Ratio2.8x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 5243 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 1 Analyst
JP¥1.16k
Fair Value
57.0% overvalued intrinsic discount
1
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


Discover undervalued companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/02/05 07:54
End of Day Share Price 2025/02/05 00:00
Earnings2024/11/30
Annual Earnings2024/11/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

note inc. is covered by 2 analysts. 1 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Taro IshiharaDaiwa Securities Co. Ltd.
Yasuaki IwamotoTIW